Reference library: Prospects
Eric T.
November 07 2012 04:05PM
This article is part of the NHL Numbers reference library, which seeks to collect articles from around the web that have contributed to our understanding of the game.
This page is devoted to articles that touch on prospects. This will include league translations, historic trends, and other things that relate to evaluating prospects.
We need your help to keep the library complete and up to date -- contact me on Twitter (@BSH_EricT) or via email (bsh.erict -at- gmail) with suggestions of articles you think we should consider adding.
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| Title - Translation factors |
Author | Date | Site | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projecting junior hockey players and translating performance to the NHL | Gabriel Desjardins | 2004? | Behind the Net | Equivalencies for estimating future NHL production for player in another league |
| League equivalencies | Gabriel Desjardins | 2004? | More NHL Equivalencies (PDF) | |
| Canadian Junior A NCAA/Major junior equivalencies | Hawerchuk | 9/8/2008 | Behind the Net | Equivalencies for Canadian Junior A leagues |
| KHL->NHL equivalency with TOI | Hawerchuk | 7/9/2009 | Arctic Ice Hockey | PPG and Pts/60 equivalencies for KHL and SEL |
| Minnesota high school hockey | Gabriel Desjardins | 6/23/2009 | Puck Prospectus | Translations from Minnesota HS hockey to NCAA, USHL, and NAHL |
| On NHL equivalencies | Scott Reynolds | 7/6/2010 | Copper & Blue | NHL equivalencies for '06-07 to '09-10 |
| How good is the KHL? | Bruce Peter | 8/4/2011 | Puck Worlds | KHL equivalency to NHL and Euro leagues |
| AHL translations, under age 23 | Robert Vollman | 10/21/2011 | Puck Prospectus | Non-linear AHL-NHL translation factors |
| AHL to NHL shot translations | Stephen Cooper | 5/26/2012 | Habs Eyes on the Prize | AHL-NHL translations for shot rate and shooting percentage |
| AHL to NHL translations: Save percentage | Stephen Cooper | 7/11/2012 | Habs Eyes on the Prize | AHL-NHL translation for save percentage |
| AHL-NHL equivalencies in a lockout year | Eric T. | 10/17/2012 | NHL Numbers | How much stronger AHL is during a lockout |
| Title - Other trends |
Author | Date | Site | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laraque, Cloutier, firing JFJ, Alex Auld and trading within your conference | Tyler Dellow | 7/7/2006 | mc79hockey | AHL and NHL goalie success are closely linked |
| Projecting goalie performance | Bruce McCurdy | 10/21/2008 | Copper & Blue | Goalies break into NHL at wide range of ages |
| The most interesting thing I've written in some time | Jonathan Willis | 12/30/2008 | Copper & Blue | Estimating AHL qualcomp by noting PPG of forwards on the ice when a goal is scored |
| Springfield Falcons' quality of competition through 40 games | Jonathan Willis | 1/23/2009 | Copper & Blue | Changing the AHL qualcomp calculation slightly |
| The impossibility of projecting goaltenders | Hawerchuk | 6/1/2009 | Hockey Prospectus | Variance means we rarely know a goalie's true talent before deciding his career path |
| Quality of competition and image resolution | Jonathan Willis | 7/14/2009 | Copper & Blue | Why error bars on AHL qualcomp are large |
| Finnish comps - The military service problem | Derek Zona | 3/27/2010 | Copper & Blue | Impact of military service on Finnish prospect numbers |
| Mo' money, mo' skills | Scott Reynolds | 5/16/2010 | Copper & Blue | Entry level contract value as a predictor of future success |
| Johan Backlund: Quality behind Phantom defense | Geoffrey Detweiler | 6/24/2010 | Broad Street Hockey | Defining a quality save for AHL play |
| The importance of a goalie's first 15 games | Hawerchuk | 2/23/2011 | Arctic Ice Hockey | Start of career doesn't tell us a goalie's skill, but impacts career length |
| NHL and AHL shootouts 2005-2011 | Hawerchuk | 4/13/2011 | Arctic Ice Hockey | Comparing goalie's shootout sv% across leagues points to difference in shooter skill |
| Events and time on ice | Scott Reynolds | 8/24/2011 | Copper & Blue | Using how many goals a player was on ice for as a surrogate for AHL TOI |
| The impact of luck on prospects | Derek Zona | 11/19/2011 | Copper & Blue | Variance in factors like sh% can overly impact a prospect's opportunities |
| The cult of Stu | Tyler Dellow | 1/30/2012 | mc79hockey | CHL draftees who at age 20 are in AHL and not dominating don't become scorers |
| Does it take different amounts of time to assess a player's talent? | Hawerchuk | 3/19/2012 | Arctic Ice Hockey | How many hits, faceoffs, or shots it takes to determine a player's talent level |
| Looking at AHL goaltenders vs. NHL players | Rob Pettapiece | 7/6/2012 | NHL Numbers | Using performance vs players who went on to NHL to assess AHL goalies |
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