2012 NHL Draft Top 100 - May Update

Derek Zona
May 16 2012 12:47PM

Photo by Bri Weldon via Wikimedia Commons

Nail Yakupov is the goods, or so says the Consensus Top 100.  The largest gap between any two players in the top 20 is between #1 Yakupov and #2 Forsberg - a ringing endorsement of Yakupov's incredible abilities.  I reconstructed this list for 2010 and 2011 using the final rankings of the draft guides, watchers and gurus over the last two years to compare to this year's list and found that not only is the gap between #1 and #2 much larger this year than in the previous two, the gap between Yakupov and Forsberg is the largest gap between any two back-to-back players ranked in the top ten from 2010-2012. 

Nail Yakupov is the clear cut #1 pick and with good reason. 

Yakupov has the goal-scoring prowess and passing ability that all high-end picks possess, but what separates him from the rest of the bunch, says Corey Pronman, is his speed and agility:

He has the ability to push the tempo up the ice and keep defenders on their heels, but he's probably even more dangerous at a standstill with high-end agility, first step acceleration, and a real slippery aspect to his game. He has such a powerful stride that he can take a handful of strides and already have travelled half the distance of the ice. Yakupov is the kind of player who consistently keeps his feet moving and has a very desirable motor to his game that shines through on a regular basis either when he's jetting through open ice or when he's engaging along the physical areas.

The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzie, Redline Report, Future Considerations, ISS, Craig Button, Hockey Prospectus, The Scouting Report, and Win Shares via Nick, A.K.A. Mathletic.  Their prior records are used to establish a weighting so that the opinions of the more accurate (McKenzie and Button) have more value than the opinions of the less accurate. 

#   Pos   Name   HT   WT   L/R   Team   Move
1 F Nail Yakupov  5'11 180 L Sarnia Sting 0
2 F Filip Forsberg  6'2 180 R Leksand 0
3 F Alex Galchenyuk  6'1 185 L Sarnia Sting 3
4 F Mikhail Grigorenko  6'2 192 L Quebec Remparts -1
5 D Ryan Murray  6'0 182 L Everett Silvertips 0
6 D Mathew Dumba  6'0 172 R Red Deer Rebels -2
7 F Teuvo Teräväinen  5'10 161 L Jokerit 2
8 D Morgan Rielly  6'0 190 L Moose Jaw Warriors -1
9 D Jacob Trouba  6'1 183 R USA NTDP U18 -1
10 D Griffin Reinhart  6'4 202 L Edmonton Oil Kings 0
11 D Cody Ceci  6'2 203 R Ottawa 67's 2
12 F Radek Faksa  6'2 183 L Kitchener Rangers 3
13 F Sebastian Collberg  6'0 180 R Frölunda 1
14 F Pontus Åberg  5'11 183 R Djurgården -3
15 F Zemgus Girgensons  6'1 182 L Dubuque Fighting Saints -3
16 D Matt Finn  6'0 197 L Guelph Storm 1
17 D Derrick Pouliot  5'11 192 L Portland Winterhawks 1
18 D Olli Määttä  6'2 198 L London Knights 1
19 D Slater Koekkoek  6'2 180 L Peterborough Petes 1
20 F Brendan Gaunce  6'2 205 L Belleville Bulls -4
21 F Tomas Hertl  6'2 196 L Slavia Praha 0
22 D Brady Skeji  6'1 183 L USA NTDP U18 3
23 G Andrei Vasilevski  6'3 200 L Ufa 0
24 D Hamphus Lindholm 6'2 180 L Rogle 18
25 F Nicolas Kerdiles  6'1 183 L USA NTDP U18 1
26 F Martin Frk  5'11 190 R Halifax Mooseheads -2
27 L Philip Di Giuseppe 5'11 176 L Michigan -1
28 D Damon Severson  6'1 188 R Kelowna Rockets 1
29 D Michael Matheson  6'1 175 L Dubuque Fighting Saints -3
30 D Ludvig Bystrom 6'0 176 L Modo 6
31 F Stefan Matteau  6'1 188 L USA NTDP U18 -4
32 D Jordan Schmaltz  6'2 175 R Green Bay Gamblers -2
33 F Tanner Pearson 6'0 192 L Barrie Colts -2
34 F Jarrod Maidens  6'2 170 R Owen Sound Attack 0
35 D Dalton Thrower  6'0 195 R Saskatoon Blades -4
36 F Daniil Zharkov  6'3 195 L Tri-City Storm -1
37 F Tom Wilson  6'4 195 R Plymouth Whalers -3
38 F Colton Sissons  6'0 173 R Kelowna Rockets 7
39 F Matia Marcantuoni  5'11 185 R Kitchener Rangers 4
40 D Ville Pokka  6'0 187 R Kärpät -3
41 F Henrik Samuelsson  6'2 192 R Edmonton Oil Kings -4
42 F Scott Laughton  6'0 174 L Oshawa Generals 5
43 R Scott Komaschuk 5'11 185 R Guelph Storm -2
44 F Cristoval Nieves  6'2 175 L Kent Prep School -4
45 F Mike Winther 5'11 170 R Prince Albert Raiders -3
46 D Patrick Sieloff  6'0 173 L USA NTDP U18 5
47 F Brady Vail  6'1 190 L Windsor Spitfires 2
48 F Andreas Athanasiou  6'0 165 L London Knights -9
49 D Gianluca Curcuruto  6'1 187 L SSM Greyhounds 4
50 D Nick Ebert  6'0 195 R Windsor Spitfires 2
51 L Anton Slepyshev 6'2 187 R Novokuznetsk -3
52 G Malcolm Subban  6'0 178 L Belleville Bulls 4
53 F Tim Bozon 6'1 178 L Kamloops Blazers -6
54 D Adam Pelech  6'2 200 L Erie Otters -4
55 L Gemel Smith 5'11 165 L Owen Sound Attack 6
56 D Dillon Fournier  6'1 160 L Rouyn-Noranda Huskies -1
57 F Raphaël Bussières  6'0 183 L Baie-Comeau Drakkar -3
58 G Oscar Dansk  6'2 183 L Brynäs -1
59 F Charles Hudon  5'8 165 L Chicoutimi Sagueneens -1
60 F Nikolai Prokhorkin  6'2 183 L CSKA Moscow -1
61 F Mark Jankowski 6'2 170 L Stanstead 17
62 F Tomas Hyka 5'11 160 R Gatineau Olympiques -2
63 F Ryan Olsen  6'2 190 R Kelowna Rockets -1
64 F A.J. Michaelson  6'0 180 L Waterloo Black Hawks -1
65 F Emil Lundberg  6'3 198 L Södertälje 0
66 C Dane Fox 6'0 185 L London Knights 3
67 F Branden Troock  6'1 175 R Seattle Thunderbirds 1
68 F Brian Hart  6'1 190 R Phillips Exeter Academy -2
69 D Calle Andersson  6'1 194 R Malmö 11
70 F Nikita Gusev 5'9 163 R CSKA Moscow -6
71 F Chandler Stephenson  5'9 170 L Regina Pats 4
72 F Brendan Leipsic  5'9 155 L Portland Winterhawks -5
73 D Esa Lindell 6'3" 194 L Jokerit 3
74 G Matt Murray 6'4" 162 R SSM Greyhounds -4
75 F Troy Bourke  5'10 150 L Prince George Cougars 19
76 D Jaynen Rissling  6'3 215 L Calgary Hitmen -4
77 D Jake McCabe  6'0 195 L USA NTDP U18 -6
78 F Lukas Sutter  6'0 199 L Saskatoon Blades -1
79 D Dylan Blujus  6'3 184 R Brampton Battalion 43
80 F Coda Gordon 6'2 174 L Swift Current Broncos 4
81 F Mathew Campagna  5'11 170 L Sudbury Wolves -8
82 G Brandon Whitney 6'5 193 R Victoriaville -8
83 F Steven Hodges  5'11 165 L Chilliwack Bruins 9
84 F Dominik Volek 6'1 180 L Regina Pats 7
85 D Trevor Carrick 6'2 175 L Mississauga St. Mike's Majors 4
86 C Tanner Richard 5'11 182 L Guelph Storm -1
87 F Riley Barber  5'11 180 R Dubuque Fighting Saints -1
88 D Jesse Graham  5'11 160 R Niagara IceDogs 7
89 C Devin Shore 6'0 184 L Whitby 17
90 D Valeri Vasiliyev 6'1 183 L Spartak Moscow -11
91 D Dominic Poulin  6'1 185 R Chicoutimi Sagueneens -9
92 D Cody Corbett 6'1 209   Edmonton Oil Kings -11
93 F Kalle Torniainen  5'10 172 R Djurgården -10
94 F Eric Locke  5'10 171 L Barrie Colts -6
95 G Jon Gillies  6'5 202 L Indiana Ice -8
96 F Logan McVeigh  6'0 179 R Kamloops Blazers -6
97 F Zach Stepan  6'0 170 L Shattuck St. Mary's -4
98 F Andrew Ryan  6'2 193 L Halifax Mooseheads -1
99 F Dalton Sward  6'0 165 R Vancouver Giants -3
100 D Marcus McIvor  6'1 204 R Brampton Battalion -2

  • What was once a two-horse race between Yakupov and Mikhail Grigorenko is no longer.  Grigorenko lost the #2 slot to Filip Forsberg last month and lost the #3 slot to Alex Galchenyuk this time around.  Craig Button dropped Grigorenko from 14 to 20 in his May rankings (which seems harsh, but ISS has Galchenyuk at 14) and ISS dropped Grigorenko to #4 behind Ryan Murray.
  • Teuvo Teräväinen jumped 25 spots last month to #9 and jumped to #7 this month.  He's probably not done.  Given the defensive depth in this draft, the value of the top-end forwards is going to be very high.  Teräväinen could very well go anywhere between #4 and #6.
  • Brendan Gaunce, the highest-ranked Canadian forward lost four spots this month.  It will be quite strange to see the first Canadian forward selected at #20, if the draft breaks that way.
  • Hamphus Lindholm was the biggest gainer in the top 50, jumping 18 spots up to #26.  The Swedish defenseman has come from #85 all the way up to the first round in four months.  Another Swedish defenseman, Ludvig Bystrom, broke into the first round at #30, up six spots since April, but up 47 spots since November.
  • This could be a very good draft for the Czech Republic.  After a couple of down years, three Czechs rank in the top 30 and 9 rank in the top 200.

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