On Rebuilding, Part 6: The New York Islanders

Jonathan Willis
August 10 2012 05:36PM

Frequent commenter and guest contributor RexLibris' series on rebuilds continues with the New York Islanders.

New Orleans York is Sinking

What are the myths and storylines that we, as fans, tell ourselves when it comes to the horror show rebuild that is going on in Long Island?

  • “Wang has had too direct a role in the team and has hired idiots to run his team.”
  • “They are the worst case scenario of a rebuild.”
  • “The Islanders are the perfect example of infinibuild, constantly finishing in the bottom of the league and never climbing up despite repeated lottery picks.”
  • “They are the perfect example of why I don’t want my team to intentionally tank the season, like the Blue Jackets and Oilers, because it isn’t a guarantee of anything.”

That should pretty much sum up the Islanders, right?

This is a common refrain amongst many fans around the league. And to be honest, it is hard to make any argument that the Islanders appear to have a plan, or even that reason and sound judgment play any role in the team’s management decisions. I don’t think anyone would argue that Charles Wang has, despite saving the team from bankruptcy, been a disastrous owner for the franchise.

To begin, it might be best to quickly review how the Islanders got to where they are today.

Dysfunction On Ice

The team is a mess and frankly when I wrote to Kent about this Islanders article I was sorely tempted to simply submit “they are screwed up six ways from Sunday” and leave it at that.

Wang, along with business partner Sanjay Kumar, bought the team from Howard Milstein and then-part-owner of the Phoenix Coyotes Steven Gluckstern, in 2000. Apparently Gluckstern didn’t feel he was losing money quickly enough and wanted to diversify his liabilities. During the 1995-1996 season Mike Milbury was elevated by Milstein and Gluckstern to GM while retaining his position as head coach. The first thing that Wang did was to give Milbury complete freedom over the hockey operations. Funny thing, this turns out to have been a bad idea.

Milbury took over from Don Maloney, current GM of the recently resurgent Phoenix Coyotes that had once been partially owned by Maloney’s former boss in New York, Steven Gluckstern. Maloney was fired because he chose to take the team in a different direction. Maloney determined that the team was overachieving and that their level of accomplishment in their previous playoff series win in 1992-1993 (their most recent playoff series win) was unsustainable. Essentially, Maloney chose to rebuild the franchise because he could see that the team wasn’t very good. The fans revolted and the ownership fired him for it.

The Islanders spent much of the time from 1995 to 2008 attempting to cobble together a team and compete for the playoffs. That they didn’t, and in fact failed in a spectacular fashion in many seasons, speaks to the poor management of the team.

It’s Worse Than You Think

Contrary to popular belief, the Islanders haven’t been rebuilding for a decade. They have been rebuilding for nearly three decades. Since posting a 103 point season in 1983-84 the team has only ever posted a 90+ point season three times in a span of twenty-eight years. In that same time the team has posted a season with 60 points or fewer six times, although one of those years was the shortened lockout season of 1994-95 where they were on pace for 70 points, if that is any consolation.

In the past sixteen years (excluding this June’s draft) the Islanders have had fourteen top-ten draft picks. Nine of those have been in the top five with two of them being 1st overall selections (Rick DiPietro and John Tavares). Of the players drafted with those selections six are still with the organization, with one still in junior (Ryan Strome).

The remaining players drafted were all traded away in many of Milbury’s moves that resulted in greatly diminished returns.

For the sake of brevity, we’ll restrict our review of the team’s rebuilding process to the Garth Snow era following the lockout, 2006 to present.

A Look at Garth Snow

Snow retired as the Isles backup goaltender in order to accept Wang’s job offer as NHL GM. Wang had hired Neil Smith to run the team a short while earlier but fired him after just over a month. It was at this time that the infamous Rick DiPietro contract was offered, apparently under Wang’s guidance. Snow’s immediate moves could now be said to be a great improvement over Milbury when looking over two of his first trades with the Oilers. He acquired Ryan Smyth at the 2007 trade deadline for Robert Nilsson, Ryan O’Marra and the draft pick that was used to select Alex Plante. An argument could be made that six or eight weeks of Smyth was equal value to those three prospects as Nilsson has almost washed out of the KHL, O’Marra was traded between AHL teams and Plante has yet, nearly six years later, to land a regular NHL job. Snow’s next trade with the Oilers sent Allan Rourke and a 3rd round pick over in exchange for a 2nd round pick used to select Travis Hamonic. Things were looking up for the Islanders, if only they had kept trading with Edmonton.

Unfortunately for Isles fans, it seems that Snow began to catch whatever Milbury had.

In Garth Snow’s time as GM the Islanders have continued to alter and modify their draft order, occasionally trading back with obvious gains as in 2008 when they were able to trade down initially from 5th overall to 7th and then from 7th to 9th while selecting Josh Bailey and adding two additional 2nd round picks and a 3rd round pick. Snow did the opposite the following year when he traded his 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th round picks to Columbus for their 1st and 3rd round picks, then immediately sent those two draft picks and a 7th round pick to the Wild for their 1st round pick. In the end the Islanders sent away a 1st, a 2nd, a 3rd, and a 7th round pick to climb the draft order from 26th overall to 12th. The draft picks that they sent away were used to take players such as Matt Hackett, Nick Leddy, and Kyle Palmieri, while the Islanders selected with that improved draft pick Calvin de Haan.

The really curious part of the whole deal, on both sides of this exchange, is that the following day Columbus essentially reversed their earlier decision and traded the 3rd and 4th round picks they received the day before from the Islanders in exchange for a 2nd round pick. This amount of wheeling and dealing would leave even Dean Lombardi’s head spinning.

Whither the Isles?

The Islanders never appear to be trying to move in a sustained direction, be it up or down. At one draft they will stockpile picks, trading away players and prospects, while in the following year they will reverse this course and trade away draft picks or the prospects most recently acquired in exchange for NHL-ready players.

The consistency that the Islanders have had at the level of ownership and management hasn’t carried down the corporate food chain. Since 2006, the team has had four head coaches: Brad Shaw, Ted Nolan, Scott Gordon and Jack Capuano. This much changeover in coaching directions amongst a young core is likely to have a long-term deleterious effect on the team’s identity and their ability to “buy-in” to a coach’s message and strategy.

Interestingly enough, the Islanders have drafted relatively well, for all of the other areas of franchise incompetence. Garth Snow has committed to prioritizing the draft in the past few seasons and been generally reluctant to trade away valuable picks. His scouting staff appear to have rewarded that strategy with some of their selections. The same prioritizing of the development of those draft picks may be another matter and is somewhat outside the scope of what this inquiry can provide.

A brief look at the Isles recent daft draft history

The 2005 draft was entirely unspectacular for the Isles with Ryan O’Marra, selected 15th overall, being the most successful player selected (33 games player, 7 points). The following year the Islanders stocked up on draft picks, hoarding 13 selections, including four 4th round picks. Unfortunately, Kyle Okposo and defenseman Andrew Macdonald are the only two who have turned into NHL players out of that group.

The following year Snow appears to have de-emphasized the draft, having only five picks, beginning in the 3rd round. From that year only Mark Katic has had any time in the NHL (11 games, 1 point). This was the year that Snow traded for Ryan Smyth and it appears that the team was under pressure to make the playoffs, which they did, although they were eliminated in the first round.

In 2008 Snow again hoarded picks to the tune of thirteen selections. Nine of those thirteen have played at least one game in the NHL with Travis Hamonic, Josh Bailey, Jared Spurgeon and Matt Martin being the headliners from that year.

2009 and 2010 were quieter years at the draft podium with fewer picks, but arguably more productive, as the Islanders added John Tavares, Calvin de Haan, Anders Nilsson and Casey Cizikas in 2009 and then Nino Niederreiter, Brock Nelson, and Kirill Kabanov the following year.

Last year the Islanders added to their already strong center prospect group with Ryan Strome while this June they hold the fourth overall selection and may have the opportunity to add one of a top-flight defensive prospect, a center, or a power-forward winger.

The amateur draft hasn’t been as much of a problem for the organization as what management has chosen to do with those prospects afterwards.

Not Right in the Head

It is difficult to discern the reasons for the Islanders seemingly being a perpetually poor team without resorting to oversimplified statements like “management are all idiots” and “ownership has screwed things up so badly nobody could make that group successful”. Suffice to say the team has spent longer being irrelevant than it ever did being relevant in the NHL.

The Islanders ought to have in place the pieces necessary to compete, or at least not embarrass themselves, every season. As in many things, there are a multitude of reasons why the Isles seem to always be at the top of the draft order.

First and perhaps foremost is the performance and impact that their starting (and I use that word loosely) goaltender has provided to the team. The DiPietro contract could make Freddy Krueger wake up in a cold sweat. DiPietro cannot seem to remain healthy for more than a dozen games at a time and since breaking into the league in 2005-2006 has played a career high of 63 games (2007-2008) while over the last four seasons has never played more than 26 games at any professional level. In fact from 2008 to 2012 he has played 5, 8, 26 and 8 games in each season, respectively. His cap hit is $4.5 million a season until 2021. Recently drafted Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will be 28 years old (and perhaps even starting to shave) when that contract expires. If an amnesty clause is included in the next CBA it ought not be nicknamed after Scott Gomez, or even Matt Stajan or Shawn Horcoff, but Rick DiPietro.

However, the truly frightening aspect of the Islanders, as it relates to DiPietro contract, is that the team has actually been reliant on that contract in order to buoy it above the salary floor. Maintaining a poor team can be excused for one of two reasons: financial restrictions or an unwillingness to overpay free agents who would only falsely inflate a team’s performance and inhibit draft ranking when rebuilding with intent. The Islanders appear to be trying to do both.

Charles In Charge

This leads us directly into the next aspect of the Islanders’ poor performance: ownership. It was Wang who led the negotiations for the DiPietro contract following the resignation of Milbury and the hiring of Garth Snow. Wang’s moves have seemed almost counter-indicative, at one moment signing players to expensive, long-term contracts such as the DiPietro and Yashin contracts, then instructing Snow to operate a franchise in the salary-cap cellar.

Wang’s preferred style of management is by committee and in his other business dealings terms have been used such as “heartless” and “abusive”. Apparently it was this operate-by-committee approach that resulted in Neil Smith’s being released so quickly after his initial hiring, as he felt he needed to run every single move past a collection of individuals including Wang and several “non-hockey” consultants.

It deserves mention that Wang has had several class-action suits leveled against him for his part in the running of Computer Associates and some accounting discrepancies that resulted in his being paid out nearly $700 million. To that end, financial restrictions, coupled with the limitations of playing in one of the NHL’s oldest arenas, are, in my opinion, playing a significant role in Wang’s running the team at or near the salary floor. The financial restrictions alluded to earlier would seem to have some bearing in the team’s consistently low payroll.

They have tried several creative approaches to make up for this lost revenue.

Be that as it may, I don’t believe that Wang is especially interested in retaining his ownership of the team, and has in fact come out and said that he regrets purchasing it. It is likely that at this point he is focusing his efforts on leveraging the value of the team to optimize his Lighthouse land development project, essentially using the franchise as a kind of collateral against a real estate deal.

Infinibuild

The Islanders are often described as being in a perpetual rebuild, and this criticism isn’t entirely without merit. While they have a stable full of very talented young players that any other team in the league would love to poach, there appears to be little direction or method in the approach (are you sensing a theme here?).

I would argue that the Islanders are in the most desperate need of new ownership and a slightly different kind of rebuilding effort. The concept of a scorched-earth approach needs to be applied to this organization, though not in the player ranks. The ownership, management and some personnel positions of this franchise need to be expunged. A rebuild is necessary, not in the player or even the scouting ranks, but amongst the group of individuals who hold the majority of the responsibility for the absolute disaster and embarrassment that the New York Islanders have become.

Don Maloney attempted to do the right thing in the past, by drafting high and leveraging assets to acquire elite players at key positions. His removal at the angry demands of the fans only resulted in the rebuild being delayed. Unfortunately the person eventually hired to oversee this process was Mad Mike Milbury, a nickname that Milbury first used when referring to himself in the third person after defending his selection of Rick DiPietro 1st overall. A pick he obtained by trading away the recently-drafted Roberto Luongo.

Since embarking on their second rebuild of the modern era, their first being under Maloney at the beginning of the millennium, one half of the organization has been doing things by the traditional rebuilding book: using high draft picks to succeed in finding a good player at that position. There haven’t been many 1st round busts since Garth Snow took over: Okposo (7th), Bailey (9th), Tavares (1st), de Haan (12th), Niederreiter (5th), Nelson (30th), and Strome (5th). At the same time, the fact that the team has had eleven top-five picks in the past seventeen years speaks to a deeper malaise within the organization and takes us to the other half of the franchise that is horribly underperforming. Unfortunately, the lackluster half is that which reviews and supervises those on the other side of the coin, removing those that it deems not to be living up to expectations while avoiding the same fate for themselves.

So, to review, our myths surrounding the Islanders:

  • They have been rebuilding for the last ten years - This is false. They have been rebuilding, on and off, for nearly thirty years with a few short exceptions when ownership interfered and demanded an instantaneous winner, resulting in the addition of an Alexei Yashin. To put it in the good doctor’s words: “It’s worse than that. He’s dead, Jim.”
  • Charles Wang bears a great deal of responsibility for his meddling management style - From what can be learned at a distance this would appear to be true. Wang prefers a management-by-committee style. Basically, no argument here.
  • Charles Wang has employed idiots, amateurs and madmen to run his business almost to flaunt his disregard for the franchise in front of the fans who are held emotionally hostage - It’s hard to argue with such a heartfelt statement, but at the same time it has just enough truth to it that it doesn’t sound entirely unreasonable. Wang has a very difficult reputation in the business world, one not synonymous with the term “team”. It is often said that a person doesn’t make enough money to buy a hockey team by employing stupid people, and yet there are endless examples of owners making poor hiring decisions for their sports teams. In the end, Wang made a poor choice in retaining Mike Milbury and while Garth Snow appears to be an improvement in that department, it is faint praise indeed.
  • The Islanders are the worst-case scenario of a rebuild and are an example of what the Oilers are going to become pretty soon with their perennial 30th place finishes - Putting aside my own emotional response, the Islanders are not a worst case scenario of a rebuild. They are a worst case scenario of a franchise. Period. Charles Wang, Mike Milbury and Garth Snow are the kinds of owners and managers that fans see in their darkest nightmares. As for the Oilers, while there are some historical ties that will always run between these two organizations and the state of their respective arenas bear some similarities, that is where the comparisons end. They have different owners, different management structures entirely, and the two franchises have been on very different paths over the past fifteen years. But I’ll spend more time on that when discussing the Oilers’ rebuild.
  • The Islanders are an example of how finishing at the bottom of the league and drafting high isn’t a guarantee of every improving, in fact it can mean spending the next twenty years at the bottom of the league -The Islanders do not represent a necessary outcome to a rebuilding strategy. They are one example amongst many and ought to serve only as that, one possible, and avoidable, outcome amongst all the others.

What derailed the Islanders’ initial rebuilds in the nineties was similar to what derailed the Flames Young Guns era. Financial constraints meant that drafted talents could not be retained. When the Islanders did find exceptional talent, it was traded away by incompetent management before the players could mature and contribute to the team. There are many great players that the Islanders selected, players who have made a mark on the league and have had long, productive careers in the NHL. Amongst Todd Bertuzzi, Bryan McCabe, Zdeno Chara, Roberto Luongo, Eric Brewer, Wade Redden, and Zigmund Palffy none of them were retained long enough to become impact players for the Islanders. Mike Milbury traded many of them before they could even develop into the kind of players that we would recognize today. In this regard, Milbury could be said to have been the best GM that the other 29 teams ever had. Trading with Milbury was like the free space on a bingo card.

In spite of being located in New York the Islanders were in many ways a small market team prior to the 2005-2006 lockout. Following their dynasty years the team gradually lost ground to the larger market teams that were able to outspend them. In a vain effort to revisit past glory the team kept trying to tread water and return to the playoffs, while ownership became more interested in withdrawing funds from the team’s revenue streams than reinvesting it. Every year since has more or less been cut from the same cloth, where ownership demands competitiveness while management attempts to throw together an NHL-worthy roster with a motley cast.

Don Maloney lost his job because he was unable to serve the two masters, the fans desire for success and ownership’s desire for a profitable product, without first leading the team through the valley of the shadow of death: bottom of the league/the top of the draft. In the end the team ended up there in spite of Milbury’s efforts.

Mike Milbury was given too much authority and afterwards was retained far too long. He eventually had the luxury of resigning and now, inexplicably, is given regular opportunities to espouse his thoughts on hockey in a public forum.

Garth Snow appears to be reversing some of this trend in that he has chosen to retain, for the most part, many of the talented young players that the Islanders have drafted. He has added depth players through the waiver wire in Michael Grabner and by unrestricted free agency in Matt Moulson and P.A. Parenteau. The Islanders remain an enigma of an NHL franchise, but their current rebuild needs to be weighed against its modern lifespan, est. 2006.

Previously in this series

74b7cedc5d8bfbe88cf071309e98d2c3
Jonathan Willis is Managing Editor of the Nation Network. He also currently writes for the Edmonton Journal's Cult of Hockey, Grantland, and Hockey Prospectus. His work has appeared at theScore, ESPN and Puck Daddy. He was previously founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue. Contact him at jonathan (dot) willis (at) live (dot) ca.
Avatar
#1 RyanCoke
August 10 2012, 11:19PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
1
props

Longest book evar!

Avatar
#2 Wäx Män Riley
August 11 2012, 03:47PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
1
props

I had a job before this.... I had a job before this.

Ultimately it was that job that drove me into this.

I worked at an aquarium. An aquarium with lots of money from the government, so it was HUGE! I uh, I was a clean n' scrub man we called each other in the "C n' S" union. I scrubbed the inside of the killer whale tank. And after a while the boys in the "C n' S" or "clean n' scrub" we just sort of made it one word: the killerwhaletank, the killerwhaletank uh, the killerwhaletank uh. I'm going into the.....killerwhaletank.

Avatar
#3 Rude
August 10 2012, 06:52PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Great read Rexy.Will there be any more in the series? Would love to here your take on the Avalanche. It seems that since captain Joe retired they seem to be a rudderless ship. The last few years they have made trades that were between ok and downright terrible. Whole thing is starting to reek islanders to me ( especially that Varlamov for a 1st rounder)

Avatar
#4 beloch
August 10 2012, 10:43PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Now *this* is a team the Flames should be inking trades with!

Avatar
#5 jeanshorts
August 11 2012, 12:35AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

"This much changeover in coaching directions amongst a young core is likely to have a long-term deleterious effect on the team’s identity and their ability to “buy-in” to a coach’s message and strategy."

Let's all remember this when in six months* half the fans are screaming for Ralph Krueger to be run back to Switzerland, okay guys? Guys? No, wai-

[gets pelted with socks full of soap]

*obviously theoretically since there won't even be NHL hockey in six months

Avatar
#6 Copperblueandwhite
August 11 2012, 12:45AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

How did they convince Tavares to sign longterm for that money??

Avatar
#7 ChinookArch
August 11 2012, 06:26AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Rex, this is the most interesting in the series so far; good job. The Islanders have become sporting franchise joke. What's sadly funny is that te team is still using the Alexi Yashin contract to reach the cap floor and have for years. He hasn't played since 2007 and will continue receiving $2.3M/year for the next 3 seasons, a buyout not withstanding.

One trend that seems to be true is that NHL teams need to be at or near the cap to be truly competitive, regardless of the their rebuild strategy. In fact, it seems clear (to me at least) that the #1 predictor of a championship is being top 10 in spending (maybe even top 7). While spending is no guarantee of a cup (or in the case of the Flames and Leafs even a playoff appearence), money more than any other factor is the paramount.

Avatar
#8 Sliderule
August 11 2012, 08:22AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Where would the islanders be if they hadn't traded all those players before they reached their potential.I think a whole lot better place.

If Snow keeps letting his picks mature this team is going to get better probably about same time as Oilers.So in a couple of years maybe you see Oil vs Isles final.

Avatar
#9 justDOit
August 11 2012, 09:49AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Wang initiates stupid contracts for certain players, and then holds his GM to a cap-floor salary range. I wonder if he knows that you don't pay players in the playoffs?

Avatar
#10 Danger
August 11 2012, 10:39AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Thanks Rex for another interesting read. Can't say that there are a whole lot of lessons here for rebuilding teams (other than "what not to do"), but that's hardly a surprise!

Avatar
#11 OB1 Team Yakopov - F.S.T.N.F
August 11 2012, 11:09AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

I think the NYI biggest problem is that outside of the Tavares draft they were never quite bad enough to draft elite players.

If 2 of Baily/Strome/Niño/Reinhart were 2 Doughty/Seguin /RNH//Yakapov instead, their future would look a heck of a lot brighter then it currently does.

Avatar
#12 Oiler Al
August 11 2012, 11:26AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Good reading.. nice recap. I hope that Oilers rebuild, perhaps to a lesser degree, isnt a mirror of this horror story.The 30 30 29 is a reality. This is a pivotal season for the Oilers.. should be a good indicator where this team is point, even if they dont make the play offs. Lets hope its not 30 30 29 28?

Avatar
#13 RexLibris
August 11 2012, 04:53PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Thanks for all the comments guys. I'm "in country" right now and will try to respond to each comment when I get back from the front.

;-)

And thanks to Jonathan and Kent for all their help.

Avatar
#14 DSF
August 11 2012, 07:12PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
jeanshorts wrote:

"This much changeover in coaching directions amongst a young core is likely to have a long-term deleterious effect on the team’s identity and their ability to “buy-in” to a coach’s message and strategy."

Let's all remember this when in six months* half the fans are screaming for Ralph Krueger to be run back to Switzerland, okay guys? Guys? No, wai-

[gets pelted with socks full of soap]

*obviously theoretically since there won't even be NHL hockey in six months

The Oilers are now on their fourth coach in four years.

Sound familiar?

Avatar
#15 the-wolf
August 13 2012, 08:59AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
DSF wrote:

The Oilers are now on their fourth coach in four years.

Sound familiar?

Technically it's their 4th in 5 years, but point taken.

I'm actually very interested to see what the Oil do this year. Krueger made their pp far better and claims he's all about the offence.

Schultz & Schultz should make their D better and adding Yakupov won't hurt either.

I'd love to see them play an all-out run & gun game just to see how it compares to the rest of the league.

I wouldn't call it a make or break season, but the Oil really need to make a legit push for the playoffs this year or there will bemuch navel-gazing.

As for the thesis, I mean articel, nice job Rex. I've always maintained that even the best of plans can't be implemented by the stupid.

And while I agree that $ is part of their problem, had they iced a team that included the likes of Chara, Luongo, Bertuzzi, Spezza, etc., the $ would've come.

Keyword to a successful rebuild: "Patience."

Avatar
#16 RexLibris
August 13 2012, 03:32PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
Rude wrote:

Great read Rexy.Will there be any more in the series? Would love to here your take on the Avalanche. It seems that since captain Joe retired they seem to be a rudderless ship. The last few years they have made trades that were between ok and downright terrible. Whole thing is starting to reek islanders to me ( especially that Varlamov for a 1st rounder)

Thanks,

The Avalanche are kind of a hard team to get a grasp on. They have done some things quite well, the 2009 draft was a pretty good haul for them, and they looked like a team that was going to take its time. Unfortunately, I think their playoff appearance in 2010 gave the ownership a false impression of their true state and they made some strange trades in Johnson and Varlamov. The Johnson one might pan out, it is still too early to tell, but I think the Varlamov move was too much.

So yeah, I'd agree that things aren't really headed in one specific direction for them right now. This might be why fans are starting to post trade suggestions: the vultures are circling looking to pick apart their young talent.

There are a few more articles written and I am trading on the goodwill and generosity of Jonathan and Kent to have them posted here.

Edmonton and Calgary are the final two in the series, in that order.

Avatar
#17 RexLibris
August 13 2012, 03:42PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
ChinookArch wrote:

Rex, this is the most interesting in the series so far; good job. The Islanders have become sporting franchise joke. What's sadly funny is that te team is still using the Alexi Yashin contract to reach the cap floor and have for years. He hasn't played since 2007 and will continue receiving $2.3M/year for the next 3 seasons, a buyout not withstanding.

One trend that seems to be true is that NHL teams need to be at or near the cap to be truly competitive, regardless of the their rebuild strategy. In fact, it seems clear (to me at least) that the #1 predictor of a championship is being top 10 in spending (maybe even top 7). While spending is no guarantee of a cup (or in the case of the Flames and Leafs even a playoff appearence), money more than any other factor is the paramount.

Thanks, this one was fun. I thought I knew how bad things were, but then I started digging...

Yashin, I believe, was bought out so his cap hit is still hitting the books and keeping them, along with a little hip, er, I mean help, from Rick DiPietro.

I'm not sold on a team needing to be a top-cap hit team to be a winner. Partially because the opposite it often held up as a cardinal rule for competitive teams as well, that they need affordable entry-level contracts to mitigate the cost of having some star players. I would say that being in the top-third means that a team likely has a higher probability of having players worth that amount. So it might be an indicator, but much to the lament of Brian Burke's bosses, it is not a contributing factor.

As for bad contracts, go check out Bobby Bonilla. Seriously, anyone upset about a Horcoff contract, or how much Kovalchuk, Luongo, Suter, Weber, or even DiPietro get paid try a quick search for Mr. Bonilla's contract. The Mets make the Isles look like wise fiscal hawks.

Avatar
#18 RexLibris
August 13 2012, 03:48PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
Danger wrote:

Thanks Rex for another interesting read. Can't say that there are a whole lot of lessons here for rebuilding teams (other than "what not to do"), but that's hardly a surprise!

I think this is also a lesson for us as fans.

The hyperbole that surrounds a "rebuild" has been growing these past few years with opinions and off-the-hip facts being tossed back and forth in the debate.

The impetus for doing this series was to look at the teams that have done this, to varying degrees, and try to discern the truths of the history from the common narrative that gets made up along the way.

As well, by looking at what certain teams have done, and where they either turned towards success or failure, it could help to drive the level of conversation in this regard. Hopefully we get past the reactionary responses from people who say that team X (which is rebuilding) is doomed to be "just like the Islanders and Jackets" or that it is destined for glory just like the Penguins and Blackhawks.

As for the lessons on how to rebuild...step one: avoid megalomaniacal owners at all cost.

Avatar
#19 RexLibris
August 13 2012, 03:53PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
Oiler Al wrote:

Good reading.. nice recap. I hope that Oilers rebuild, perhaps to a lesser degree, isnt a mirror of this horror story.The 30 30 29 is a reality. This is a pivotal season for the Oilers.. should be a good indicator where this team is point, even if they dont make the play offs. Lets hope its not 30 30 29 28?

I would target the Oilers to finish somewhere between 26th and 22nd. They have tonnes of forward talent, the defense is developing, goaltending is probably better than it has been in the last three years (yes, I know that is pretty darn low), and the coach has been given the green light (as well as the talent) to start to push the pace.

They aren't exactly playoff quality yet, as it looks on paper. But most templates one looks at for teams in a similar situation are along a curve with a quick incline after the first four years (barring the addition of generational talent).

This is likely the last year where the Oilers will be looking at a potential top ten draft pick, if management can keep it's act together and the team can avoid any cataclysmic injuries. After this season, though, who knows. This whole enterprise could still fall flat on its face.

Avatar
#20 victor sforza
August 14 2012, 11:12PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Can't argue with a single word. Would also add that under milbury and certainly under snow the team has gotten way too small and lacks the ability to compete in the trenches and high traffic areas that is more and more a feature of the game since the ''no touch'' area shortly after the 2004-5 lockout. Players like grabner/neilsen/parenteau(now in Colo.)/streit/a Mac and others are often physically outmanned too often. I would also add the signing of DOUG WEIGHT was not helpful in that snow must have thought he could squeeze a couple of good years out of the aging veteran. This proved to be a disaster. Doug was hurt most of the time and in typical snow/Wang disfunction is now an asst coach who is learning the ropes as was gorden/capuano. I see only further stagnation and with no real new building on the horizon as of today the future is quite shaky even if the team does entertain moving to the new arena in Brooklyn.

Avatar
#21 victor sforza
August 14 2012, 11:24PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
OB1 Team Yakopov - F.S.T.N.F wrote:

I think the NYI biggest problem is that outside of the Tavares draft they were never quite bad enough to draft elite players.

If 2 of Baily/Strome/Niño/Reinhart were 2 Doughty/Seguin /RNH//Yakapov instead, their future would look a heck of a lot brighter then it currently does.

Agreed. Outside of tavares the guys you mentioned+ Kyle okposo Are second/third tier players who will not be impact performers.

Comments are closed for this article.