Nathan MacKinnon Dominates 2013 NHL Draft Consensus Top 30

Derek Zona
September 21 2012 02:38PM

Brian Burke 2012 Draft
Photo by Ryan Meier, all rights reserved.

The 2013 NHL Draft order might have some excitement to it, excitement that's been stripped away of the last three drafts by the Edmonton Oilers and their grip on the worst.  But with a possible season cancellation in the works, this draft might come down to the luck of a ping pong ball.  

In 2005, the NHL put together a fantasy pool like draft:

Teams were assigned 1 to 3 balls based on their playoff appearances and first overall draft picks from the past three years. According to the draft order, the selection worked its way up to 30 as usual; then instead of repeating the order as in past years, the draft "snaked" back down to the team with the first pick. Therefore the team with the first pick overall would not pick again until the 60th pick. The team with the 30th pick would also get the 31st pick.

 If a similar agreement were to be reached after cancelling the season, the Columbus Blue Jackets would have the best shot at winning first overall, but it's not a significant advantage:

5 Balls: Columbus
3 Balls: Calgary, Carolina, Dallas, Minnesota, New York Islanders, Toronto, Winnipeg
2 Balls: Anaheim, Buffalo, Colorado, Florida, St. Louis, Tampa Bay
1 Ball: Boston, Chicago, Detroit, Edmonton, Montreal, Nashville, New Jersey, Ottawa, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Pittsburgh, San Jose, Vancouver, Washington

...the Blue Jackets would have just a 9.6% chance of winning.

What would the league-wide reaction be to Nathan MacKinnon in Pittsburgh?  What about Los Angeles?  And my, oh my, imagine if the Leafs won the lottery.

Now that Bob McKenzie has thrown his hat into the ring, it's time to unveil the initial 2013 Consensus Draft Rankings.  The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzie, Future Considerations, ISS, Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus, and The Scouting Report.

#   Pos   Name   DOB   HT   WT   L/R   Team  
1 F Nathan MacKinnon 9/1/1995 5'11 180 R Halifax Moosehead
2 D Seth Jones 11/3/1994 6'3 205 R Portland Winterhawks
3 F Sean Monahan 10/12/1994 6'2 180 R Ottawa 67s
4 F Elias Lindholm 12/2/1994 6 183 R Brynas
5 F Aleksander Barkov 9/2/1995 6'2 205 L Tappara
6 F Hunter Shinkaruk 11/13/1994 5'10 170 L Medicine Hat Tigers
7 D Rasmus Ristolainen 10/27/1994 6'3 210 R TPS Turku
8 F Andre Burakovsky 2/9/1995 6'1 175 L Malmo
9 F Valeri Nichushkin 3/4/1995 6'3 180 R Chelyabinsk
10 F Curtis Lazar 2/2/1995 6 190 R Edmonton Oil Kings
11 D Ryan Pulock 10/6/1994 6 195 R Brandon Wheat Kings
12 F Jonathan Drouin 3/27/1995 5'11 180 L Halifax Moosehead
13 F Adam Erne 4/20/1995 6 200 L Quebec Remparts
14 F Kerby Rychel 10/7/1994 6'1 185 L Windsor Spitfires
15 D Robert Hagg 2/8/1995 6'2 201 L MODO
16 D Nikita Zadorov 4/16/1995 6'4 205 L London Knights
17 D Josh Morrissey 3/28/1995 6 185 L Prince Albert Raiders
18 F Jacob De la Rose 5/20/1995 6'2 185 F Leksand
19 F Anthony Duclair 7/26/1995 6 160 L Quebec Remparts
20 F Hudson Fasching 7/28/1995 6'3 190 R USNDT
21 F J.T. Compher 4/8/1995 6 170 R USNDT
22 G Zach Fucale 5/28/1995 6 170 L Halifax Moosehead
23 F Max Domi 3/2/1995 5'9 185 L London Knights
24 F Ryan Kujawinski 3/30/1995 6'2 180 L Kingston Frontenacs
25 D Darnell Nurse 2/4/1995 6'4 185 L SSM Greyhounds
26 F Ryan Hartman 9/20/1994 5'11 185 R Plymouth Whalers
27 F William Carrier 12/20/1994 6 195 L Cape Breton
28 D Ian McCoshen 8/5/1995 6'3 205 L Waterloo Blackhawks
29 F Pavel Buchnevich 4/17/1995 6 165 l Almaz Cherepovets
30 F Artturi Lehkonen 7/4/1995 5'10 163 L TPS Turku

  •  The initial top 30 is heavily weighted in favor of forwards.  There are 21 forwards in the initial top 30, compared to 17 in 2012's initial rankings.
  • If you're looking to group these guys right now, it's MacKinnon a unanimous #1, Jones a unanimous #2 and Monahan has separated himself from the rest, then Lindholm, Barkov, Shinkaruk, and Ristolainen are cloesly bunched together.
  • Two sons of ex-NHL players are in the top 30:  Max Domi and Kerby Rychel.
  • Only one goaltender is in the top 30:  Halifax's Zach Fucale.
  • Speaking of Halifax, they lead the way with 3 players in the top 30:  Mackinnon, Fucale and Jonathan Drouin.
  • The current league breakdown is as follows:  OHL - 7, QMJHL - 6, WHL - 5, SEL - 4, Sm-Liiga - 3, USHL - 3, KHL - 2.  That's more balance than the draft has seen in quite some time.
  • The breakdown by nationality:  Canada - 15, USA - 6, Finland - 3, Russia - 3, Sweden - 3

 

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#1 If Only HIs Name Was Olli Postandin
September 24 2012, 10:52PM
Trash it!
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Oilers fans should ardently hope for the season to be salvaged, so that they may, once again, attain the no.1 spot in the draft.

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