PDO numbers by NHL team - Jan 28

Cam Charron
January 28 2013 09:41AM

There's no place to get all 30 NHL team PDO numbers, so I thought I may as well place them here every Monday morning. I explain PDO as a team-level stat at this post over at the Backhand Shelf, although there's obviously much more detailed studies of PDO throughout the hockey statistical blogosphere.

I took the numbers from Behind The Net.ca's team pages and sorted it into a spreadsheet, for everybody's benefit...

  Team Shooting% Team Save% PDO
T.B 0.152 0.943 1.095
S.J 0.096 0.972 1.068
MTL 0.106 0.962 1.068
ANA 0.131 0.919 1.050
COL 0.082 0.956 1.038
OTT 0.081 0.954 1.035
DAL 0.069 0.965 1.034
N.J 0.083 0.946 1.029
CHI 0.113 0.916 1.029
STL 0.087 0.929 1.016
BOS 0.101 0.915 1.016
NYR 0.088 0.924 1.012
PHI 0.059 0.951 1.010
DET 0.058 0.938 0.996
BUF 0.069 0.926 0.995
L.A 0.095 0.899 0.994
WPG 0.065 0.928 0.993
NYI 0.113 0.876 0.989
VAN 0.057 0.928 0.985
NSH 0.062 0.920 0.982
MIN 0.064 0.913 0.977
TOR 0.087 0.887 0.974
PIT 0.060 0.912 0.972
CGY 0.065 0.903 0.968
CAR 0.059 0.905 0.964
WSH 0.053 0.906 0.959
CBJ 0.060 0.888 0.948
PHX 0.081 0.866 0.947
EDM 0.053 0.892 0.945
FLA 0.021 0.909 0.930

Tampa Bay, San Jose and Montreal have each gotten off to hot starts, but each team will most assuredly cool off. The Lightning play a very open system that makes a 10% shooting rate somewhat manageable, but no way can Anders Lindback continue putting up a .943 at the back. San Jose and Montreal are also getting beyond world-class goaltending, and it's unlikely that remains.

Anyway, draw your own conclusions, but I'll use this space to publish PDO numbers every Monday morning.

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Cam Charron is BC-raised hockey fan and journalist and acts as the managing editor of The Leafs Nation. In his spare time, you can find him blogging about numbers at Canucks Army, discussing the juniors at Yahoo's Buzzing the Net, ranting in some way or another at the Score's Backhand Shelf, or acting as an MSM wannabe in the pages of the Vancouver Province.
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Reply #1 ChinookArch January 28 2013, 06:09PM
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I read your description of PDO, thanks. For such a simple stat, I can't believe I've never understood it before. So,if I got this straight the teams at the top of the list are due to regress and the teams at the bottom should expect to see a rebound, and each team are likely to even out closer to 1.

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Reply #2 Kent Wilson January 28 2013, 10:22PM
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@ChinookArch

Yuppers.

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Reply #3 Mark Tinordi January 31 2013, 02:16AM
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"The Lightning play a very open system that makes a 10% shooting rate somewhat manageable."

Unlikely, given that 10% would be over 4 sigma in talent above the league average.

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