PDO numbers by NHL team - Feb 18

Cam Charron
February 18 2013 07:26AM

PDO doesn't stand for anything, but that doesn't mean we can't learn anything from adding up the overall shooting and save percentages for a team at even strength. A layman's explanation for 'PDO' and why we use it can be found here over at the Backhand Shelf. Basically, if a team is playing with a PDO number way higher than 1.000, they're producing above their expected output. If a team is playing with a PDO number below 1.000, they're producing below their expected output. Over the course of a long season, the number will generally correct itself.

No website offers Team PDO as a sortable statistic, but behindthenet.ca has a page that offers a team's shooting percentage and a team's save percentage numbers. Shooting percentage is the 17th column from the left on BTN's team shots page—the first one to say SPCT. It's cousin, team save percentage, is three columns to the right also saying SPCT. The team shooting percentage needs to be subtracted from 1000 to get the actual number.

Here are the team PDO standings through games played Sunday night:

TEAM Team Shooting % Team Save % PDO
Anaheim 12.9% 0.932 1.061
Chicago 10.7% 0.934 1.041
Toronto 10.1% 0.938 1.039
Tampa Bay 12.0% 0.911 1.031
Vancouver 8.7% 0.938 1.025
Carolina 8.5% 0.939 1.024
Nashville 7.6% 0.943 1.019
Montreal 8.8% 0.931 1.019
New Jersey 8.9% 0.928 1.017
NY Rangers 8.7% 0.925 1.012
Pittsburgh 8.5% 0.925 1.010
Dallas 8.7% 0.921 1.008
Ottawa 6.4% 0.940 1.004
Detroit 7.6% 0.928 1.004
San Jose 6.9% 0.933 1.002
Buffalo 9.5% 0.906 1.001
Colorado 7.8% 0.919 0.997
Minnesota 7.2% 0.921 0.993
Boston 8.3% 0.903 0.986
Phoenix 7.8% 0.905 0.983
Columbus 8.7% 0.896 0.983
Winnipeg 6.9% 0.911 0.980
Edmonton 5.4% 0.922 0.976
Washington 7.7% 0.897 0.974
Florida 7.5% 0.898 0.973
Philadelphia 6.7% 0.905 0.972
St. Louis 8.0% 0.891 0.971
NY Islanders 8.8% 0.881 0.969
Calgary 8.0% 0.886 0.966
Los Angeles 6.5% 0.895 0.960

Last week's numbers are here.

Any thoughts from the commentariat before we prematurely bury the Los Angeles Kings? They're just four points out of a playoff spot.

The Anaheim Ducks, though, have the dubious distinction of being the team furthest from "1" in the current rankings. Time to sell your stock in Viktor Fasth, if you have any.

A note on Calgary here: While they do have a low PDO and their Fenwick Close score is actually at a respectable 53.56%, they've played a large number of home games to start the season and I don't think they fit the traditional mould of a team unlucky to start the season that's going to rebound. I doubt their FenClose stays that high. Next week will be the first that I think legitimate conclusions will be able to be drawn from FenClose scores, so I'll add those to the chart.

EDIT: I originally forgot to add this excellent tweet from our man who does Graphic Comments each week. The Canucks dropped two games this week after out-shooting and out-playing opponents, but getting some pretty lousy goaltending. Their PDO dropped from 1.046 to 1.025 this week:

63811cbf517d2d685ea09e103488ea3a
Cam Charron is a BC hockey fan that writes about hockey on many different websites including this one.
Avatar
#1 Kent Wilson
February 19 2013, 07:44AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
1
props

@leaferfan

This is a Don Cherry parody, right?

Avatar
#2 artigas
February 18 2013, 09:02AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

So, what do you think of the Leafs? 2 weeks ago their PDO was under 1.000 and they went on a streak of wins. now its basically 1.040 so they are due for some let downs. Can they squeak into the playoffs?

Avatar
#3 leaferfan
February 18 2013, 09:08AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

I dont' care about this PDO nonsense. Mclaren and Orr will pull the leafs into the playoffs kicking in screaming with a few good punches along the way.

Avatar
#4 Baalzamon
February 18 2013, 11:32AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

"A note on Calgary here: While they do have a low PDO and their Fenwick Close score is actually at a respectable 53.56%, they've played a large number of home games to start the season and I don't think they fit the traditional mould of a team unlucky to start the season that's going to rebound."

So basically you'll do anything to avoid admitting that Calgary might actually be a decent team.

Avatar
#5 Nathan
February 18 2013, 06:18PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

Calgary's PDO is also being driven down by some legitimately crap goaltending. The Irving/MacDonald combo was terrible and it would not likely have pulled itself out of the depths by chance alone. If Taylor can provide some league average goaltending it should equate to a more normal looking PDO and hopefully a few more points.

Avatar
#6 Kent Wilson
February 19 2013, 08:04AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

@Baalzamon

Id say his criticisms are legit. Flames didn't add any outshooters, so a sudden huge improvement isn't expected. They had a pretty butter soft opening schedule. On top of all that, they lost their best possession forward (Backs) to injury.

They've still been relatively unlucky given their SH% and how bad Kipper was before going down to injury, but I suspect their corsi is going to come back down to earth pretty sharply over the next few weeks. Especially given what we've seen in Backlund's absence.

Comments are closed for this article.