April 22 2013 09:46AM
|TEAM||Fenwick Close %||Team Shot %||Team Save %||PDO|
- It's all about #Lumbus this week. Nobody is pulling for #Lumbus more than me. Their shot up the PDO standings is nearly identical to their week-to-week change in points percentage (lucky I graph everything now):
- On February 25, a .981 PDO and a 6-12-4 record. It may have been curtains for them there. Their team save percentage, mostly Steve Mason at that point, was a mere .900! Sergei Bobrovsky came in and they've gone 16-5-3 since. #Lumbus are proof that even a 48-game season can be long. It may be the right length for them. With just a 44.86% Fenwick Close percentage, #Lumbus's record is an illusion. But it's still fun as hell.
- Fun fact: Sergei Bobrovsky was once a Philadelphia Flyer.
- Last week we had seven teams outside the bounds we can expect by chance of about 1.025 and .975. This week we're down to four, so math is fightin' really hard to win this war against statistical anomalies Calgary and Anaheim. The teams' respective hot and cold streaks are helping out there.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs make the playoffs and their PDO hardly moved an inch all season long. That's also fun to watch because other than their coach's insistence on having two goons in the lineup any given night, they have a lot of players easy to root for like James Reimer and Phil Kessel and Nazem Kadri and a cast of players virtually written off before the start of the season. They're going to make the playoffs and their fans are going to have so much fun and be so obnoxious and it will make the public broadcaster tonnes of money so they can write another sitcom about non-white families in Saskatchewan, I guess.
- Scary thought: the New York Islanders are in 6th place and their PDO is just .988. I wrote some words about that team here. They're also fun to watch. #Lumbus-East, maybe, but without the cute Twitter account.
- San Jose, St. Louis and Los Angeles are grouped neatly together in the PDO standings. With their good shot differential numbers and lower-than-expected records this season, one of the three is going to surprise in the playoffs.
- The New York Rangers could be the team in the Eastern Conference to do that. They've been out-performing their record all season and have started to score some goals. Low shot percentage all year...
- Lou Lamoriello TP'd the Mount Olympus of the Hockey Gods. Their Corsi Tied is 54.9%. They'd be the team with the highest Corsi Tied rate to ever miss the postseason, beating out the record set by the 52.9% 2010 St. Louis Blues.
- Ergo, time to hang 'em up, Marty.
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