2017 Draft: How do OHL Goalies Stack up Against NHL-Caliber Competition?

Mike Z
June 07 2017 10:00AM

michael-dipietro-of-the-windsor-spitfires

This article is being co-posted on NHLNumbers as well as on my own site, OriginalSixAnalytics.com . Find me @OrgSixAnalytics on twitter. All Junior stats used here were provided by @3Hayden2 , the creator of @Prospect_stats ( www.prospect-stats.com ). Please give him a follow and check out his great work. (Last, for those who do not know, I formerly wrote under the pen name of “Andrew Kerison”) 

While both the NHL and Major Junior (WHL, OHL, QMJHL) can benefit from hockey analytics, the findings in each league are often quite different. The NHL is a league of parity, where the gap between a top player and an average one can be relatively thin. Junior, on the other hand, is the opposite. Top players like Mitch Marner, Matthew Tkachuk, and Brayden Point can often make an immediate impact at the NHL level, while many of their teenage competitors will never play an NHL game at all. The massive range of Junior talent is probably best illustrated by the fact that Connor McDavid was able to win the 2016-2017 NHL scoring race while still being young enough to play for his former Erie Otters team in last week’s Mastercard Memorial Cup!

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Protecting the Blue Line and Driving Break-outs: Testing Repeatability and Goal-Impact of Controlled Exits & Entries Against

Mike Z
February 15 2017 10:08AM

This article is being co-posted on NHLNumbers as well as on my own site, OriginalSixAnalytics.com . Find me @OrgSixAnalytics on twitter. If you are able, please provide some support to public data providers Corey Sznajder (@ShutDownLine), Corsica and Puckalytics

Every team in the NHL is constantly striving to find market inefficiencies to capitalize on towards the goal of creating value and ultimately winning games. Whether done by finding undervalued assets or developing a set of sustained competitive advantages – every team should always have these concepts in mind. 

The analytics community has widely acknowledged we are not as good at evaluating defensemen as we are at evaluating forwards - in part due to having fewer effective metrics available. As a result, a number of people have spent time trying to expand our knowledge in this area - as any new development would be sure to present a strong market opportunity to capitalize on. 

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Quantifying the Value of a 'Shootout Specialist'

Mike Z
January 12 2017 10:25AM

This is an article guest written by Andrew Kerison of Original Six Analyitcs. You can follow Andrew @OrgSixAnalytics or visit his website at originalsixanalytics.com

Troy Terry. Jonathan Toews. T.J. Oshie. These names are all recognizable in part because of a heroic shootout performance they each have put on for their country. Troy Terry was the most recent, scoring three goals in the USA World Junior semi-final win over Russia, and ultimately being the sole scorer in the championship game, winning Team USA a gold medal over Team Canada. 

Due to shootouts being the subject of many conversations over the last couple weeks, I found myself wondering: for an NHL team, what exactly is it worth to have a shootout specialist in your line up? Should every team have one? Or is it a ‘nice to have’, merely a secondary consideration when evaluating players? 

So let’s see if we can figure it out. 

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