The Value of A Player's Penalty Differential

Dimitri Filipovic
November 03 2015 12:52PM

Though the season is still in its infancy stage, based on the first month of play it appears we're headed towards another slight dip in goal scoring all across the league. Whether it's the rules, the groupthink resulting in conservative approaches by most teams, or a testament to the level of goaltending floating around, the trend is very much real.

In a world with a suppressed number of events and fewer goals being scored in general, the importance of finding hidden value to get a slight leg up on the competition is heightened even further. As the hockey community has progressed and developed with advancements in puck possession metrics and the such in recent years, its only getting trickier to identify and exploit these market inefficiencies. 

One that isn't necessarily new by any means, but still doesn't have the type of traction that it likely should is penalty differential. Given that teams continue to convert on somewhere around 18% of their power play opportunities on average, the value of a player that can serve those chances up on a silver platter remains immense.

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The Ducks aren't an elite team, but they certainly aren't this bad either

Cam Lewis
November 02 2015 08:30AM

The 2015-16 Anaheim Ducks season has been nothing short of a complete disaster. Nobody saw it coming. Last year, they breezed through Winnipeg and Calgary in the playoffs and came within one win of making it to the Stanley Cup Finals before being taken down in seven games by the Blackhawks. Heading into the season, a lot of people had the Ducks pegged as one of the elite teams in the Western Conference who could easily challenge for the Stanley Cup, and I’m fairly certain that everybody had them penciled in as a playoff team. 

Now, it’s the beginning of November and they’ve just managed to earn their second win of the season.What’s going on here? Are the Ducks actually this bad? Do they have any chance at making the playoffs, or has this season become a write off already? 

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5 things: Early Calder Candidates

Ryan Lambert
October 30 2015 01:57PM

We're now 10 or 11 games into the season for just about everyone in the league at this point, and already some of the wheat in the "Calder Consideration" pool is starting to separate from the chaff.

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The Roundup

Nation World HQ
October 30 2015 06:45AM

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Flames look like smoldering dumpster fire, concern early in Canucks season, Leafs losing despite obvious improvements, Oilers next ten need to be better, Byfuglien hates three on three OT, Joe Thornton trade a decade later, daily fantasy, Evander Kane and more in this week's Nation Roundup brought to you by Draftkings. 

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Eyes on the Dollar: Nashville Predators

Cam Lewis
October 28 2015 09:00AM

Earlier this week, the Nashville Predators locked Mattias Ekholm to a six-year extension, meaning they have the brunt of their defensive core locked up long-term. The only core defenceman who isn't under control for the foreseeable future is Seth Jones, who's entry-level deal expires at the end of the season. Along with Jones, Filip Forsberg will also need a new deal this summer, but thanks to a bunch of team-friendly deals, the Preds should have no problem getting their star young players signed. 

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