2012 Stanley Cup Finals Game 1 Scoring Chances

Corey S.
June 01 2012 10:30AM


By Resolute (Own work) [CC-BY-SA-3.0 (www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

By Resolute (Own work) [CC-BY-SA-3.0 (www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Even though the Devils are the higher seeded team in this series, the general consensus among most hockey minds is that the Kings are the better team and one of the reasons is because they have a stronger defense corps. That advantage showed in a big way in Game 1. Both teams have pretty dangerous top lines but the Kings can match up against the Parise line with their fantastic defense pairing of Drew Doughty and Rob Scuderi. The Devils do not have a defense pairing that is nearly as good to match against the Kopitar line and that ended up being one of the reasons they lost Game 1.

Read Article | 2 Comments

Kings vs. Coyotes Scoring Chance Recap

Corey S.
May 27 2012 12:38PM

Photo by Nichole Gaze via Wikimedia Commons

It has been a year since I first started tracking scoring chances and I have yet to see a team run over their opponent like the Los Angeles Kings did to the Phoenix Coyotes in the Western Conference Finals. It may have taken them five games to win the series, but this could have easily been done in four because Phoenix was completely outmatched both at even strength and on special teams. They were outchanced by 41 overall and by 30 during five-on-five play alone. The Coyotes have made a habit out of riding the Mike Smith train to victory this season but not even Henrik Lundqvist can carry his team through a series when the team in front of him is getting destroyed.

It's been a nice run for the Coyotes but it was evident in Game One that they were on life support and didn't have the talent up front or on defense to compete with a team like the Kings in a series.

Read Article | 1 Comments

Kings - Coyotes Game 3 Scoring Chances

Corey S.
May 19 2012 10:54AM


Another game, another browbeating of the Phoenix Coyotes at the hands of the Los Angeles Kings and Phoenix's worst game of the series. Most people saw this as a mismatch on paper and the on-ice results have been in line with those expectations as the Kings have thoroughly dominated the Coyotes in just about every facet of the game.

Read Article | 0 Comments

Kings - Coyotes Game 2 Scoring Chances

Corey S.
May 16 2012 07:43AM

Still searching for answers
photo by Michael Wifall via Wikimedia Commons

 After the dominant showing from the Los Angeles Kings in Game 1, especially from the Kopitar line, many people were wondering two things;

Read Article | 3 Comments

Kings - Coyotes Game 1 Scoring Chances

Corey S.
May 14 2012 05:11PM

Can anyone stop Dustin Brown?
Photo by Nichole Glaze, via Wikimedia Commons

With the scoring chance project growing in popularity this season, it is only appropriate that we carry this analysis into the playoffs. I, along with a few other bloggers, have been tracking chances for various playoff games this post-season. However, the Western Conference Finals series between the Los Angeles Kings and Phoenix Coyotes will be the debut of the scoring chance project on NHLNumbers.

For those who are not familiar with this system, a scoring chance is an unblocked shot directed at the net from what is defined as a "dangerous scoring area," which is represented by this diagram. Scoring chances are tracked because they give us a better idea of who is creating and preventing the most opportunities for their team than shots alone can. Stats like corsi (aka. even strength shot attempts) give us an idea of which players are controlling possession, but scoring chances give us a better idea of who is creating more offense for their team.

This entire project was made possible by Vic Ferrari and his fantastic Time On Ice site that let's anyone log scoring chances for any game.

As for this game, most people who watched it will tell you that the Kings dominated about 80% of the contest en route to a 4-2 victory and the underlying numbers don't disagree. LA was blowing away Phoenix shot-wise and outchanced (+7) at even strength and (+8) overall.

The real story is how dominant Los Angeles' top line was. They looked as good as any unit in the playoffs this year and are going to be huge trouble for Phoenix if they keep it up.

A closer look at this game is coming after the jump.

Read Article | 8 Comments