2013 NHL Mock Draft - First Look: Washington Gets Nathan MacKinnon

Derek Zona
February 01 2013 02:28PM

 

 

Sure, the NHL season is just seven games old, but for draft watchers, it's never too early to play with mock drafts.  With the posting of our most recent Consensus Top 100, we can debut our first edition of the 2013 NHL Mock Entry Draft.  For the first time since 2006, the Oilers aren't at the very top of the mock draft list, meaning some other team gets to brag about their beuild through terrible play.  This year's first candidate is the Washington Capitals, who are currently using the most prolific goal-scorer of the last 10 years in a checking capacity.

Also of note:  Columbus currently has three picks in the top 12, their own (#5) the Kings (as a result of the Jeff Carter trade) and the Rangers (as a result of the Rick Nash trade).

The mock draft uses the NHL standings as of this morning for the selection priority and the NHL Numbers Consensus Top 100 List for the picks.  The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzieFuture ConsiderationsISSRyan KennedyCraig Button, Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus, and The Scouting Report.  Their rankings are weight by their accuracy in ranking previous drafts: Bob McKenzie's rankings carry the most weight as he's the most accurate prognosticator in the group.

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Seth Jones and Nathan MacKinnon Still Dominating The 2013 NHL Draft Rankings

Derek Zona
January 31 2013 07:32PM

Rasmus Ristolainen
Rasmus Ristolainen remains a fixture in the top 10.
Photo by: Tuomas Vitikainen, via Wikimedia Commons

The 2013 NHL Draft is shaping up to be a boring one, outside of the 1 vs. 2 debate, akin to the 2010 "Taylor vs. Tyler" debate.  Halifax Moosehead centre Nathan MacKinnon and Portland Winterhawks defenseman Seth Jones still have a stranglehold on the top two spots and Aleksander Barkov has locked down #3.  

Swedes are slumping, the Q is rising and as always, everyone is unsure about the Russians in the 2013 NHL Draft Consensus Ranking.

The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzie, Future Considerations, ISS, Ryan Kennedy, Craig Button, Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus, and The Scouting Report.  Their rankings are weight by their accuracy in ranking previous drafts: Bob McKenzie's rankings carry the most weight as he's the most accurate prognosticator in the group.

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Luck Can Dominate A 48 Game Schedule

Derek Zona
January 18 2013 09:25AM

Dice, luck

In any given NHL season, pure luck accounts for 38% of the standings.  66% of a season's save percentage is luck.  Shooting percentage?  Mostly luck.  Luck dominates single-season results because the sample size is so small - 82 games, a limited number of iterations to allow for the skill signal to separate itself from the noise of the season.  In smaller segments, crazy things happen: horrible teams masquerade as playoff teams, terrible goaltenders look like Vezina winners, lottery teams can lead a conference.  In a lockout-shortened 48-game season, expect luck to take center stage and manifest itself in wondrous ways.

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"It's a 48 game season, so every game matters."

Derek Zona
January 17 2013 08:52PM

 

 

Sports writers love the cliched and the inane, and the NHL lockout has given them a cornucopia of delights.  Of those delights, one is being used, nay abused, by nearly all of them.  "In a 48 game season, every game matters/counts."  And fans love the narrative.  Don't believe me?  Check out Twitter.  Though, to be fair, only about half of those tweets are from fans - the rest are sports writers.  Check the news

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Seth Jones Catches Nathan MacKinnon In The 2013 NHL Draft January Consensus

Derek Zona
January 16 2013 08:07PM


Photo by leech44, via Wikimedia Commons

One is a tall, lanky defenseman who skates like the wind, hits like a train and handles the puck like no other defenseman in the draft in the last few years.  The other is a short, stocky forward, who skates like the wind, attacks like Taylor Hall and fills the scoresheet like no forward in the draft since...Taylor Hall. Seth Jones and Nathan MacKinnon are running away with the 2013 draft rankings, and while MacKinnon holds a slight edge, it's essentially a dead heat.

The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzie, Future Considerations, ISS, Ryan Kennedy, Craig Button, Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus, and The Scouting Report.  Their rankings are weight by their accuracy in ranking previous drafts: Bob McKenzie's rankings carry the most weight as he's the most accurate prognosticator in the group.

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