Size Does Matter: Defencemen

Josh W
January 27 2015 09:30AM

In MoneyPuck’s most recent article, he analyzed the NHL success rate of CHL forwards based on their size and point production .  We know that offensive production is not the single determining factor as to whether an NHL player is good from an analytics perspective, but MoneyPuck demonstrated that point production in the CHL is a good indicator of NHL success.  Similarly, a player who is taller than average also increases their chances of success.  If you combine both factors positively in a young CHL forward, their chance of success rises greatly.

In our previous experiment, we split forward and defencemen data, as they are two different types of players and their success rates are different.  In this article, I will continue where MoneyPuck left off to present you the success rates for CHL defencemen, broken down by their height and CHL scoring rate. 

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World Juniors: What Happened?

Josh W
January 17 2015 09:00AM

worldjunior

Courtesy: http://www.worldjunior2015.com/

One game elimination tournaments in hockey can produce some interesting results. We can estimate possession statistics in the round robin portion, to determine who are the better teams, but that matters little when a goalie posting a shutout can cause a top ranked team to be eliminated by the bottom ranked team.  

This scenario is not unheard of at the IIHF World Under-20 Championships (World Juniors) which has allowed Sean McIndoe, of Down Goes Brown, to compare this tournament to the NCAA Basketball March Madness.

So what happened? Let's take a look.

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Top Goalies of the 2015 World Juniors

Josh W
January 08 2015 09:00AM


With the World Juniors over we can go back and look at how teams and performed over the tournament.  Much like scouts ranking Crouse at #3 in prospect rankings, we can use this small sample size to making sweeping generalizations about these players.

One of the fun areas to analyze is goalies given how difficult they are to predict, how easily they are affected by variances and how much they can effect the results of games. So let’s use what we know about goaltender analytics to see which were the best goaltenders of the tournament.

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2015 World Juniors Round-Robin Hotwash

Josh W
January 03 2015 11:24AM


A “hotwash” is commonly used in the military and emergency response communities. It is a term used for after a mission or activity to discuss happened, what went as planned and what should be done differently next time. It's more or less synonym for a postmortem or an after-action report.

With the World Juniors Round Robin having been completed on the last day of 2014, with the calendar turning over we use those results to seed the World Juniors Tournament that starts the road down towards the Gold Medal match.

We can use analytics to look at how these teams have performed and try and make predictions towards the gold medal match.

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Canadian WJC Bottom 6 Forwards Usage

Josh W
January 02 2015 12:15PM


In previous articles we’ve explored the CHL usage of the many members of the Canadian World Juniors roster, including the goaltendersdefencemen and the top 6 forwards. Today we look at the remaining forwards and compare their usage.

Read past the jump for our analytical coverage of these prospects.

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