Nation Network Prospect Profiles: A Statistical Look at Draft Eligible Goalies

Josh W
June 26 2015 10:00AM

"Goalies are Voodoo." 

This is a mantra repeated at one point or another by nearly anyone within the hockey analytics community.  While a definite stretch of the truth, there’s some truth to it since goalies are extremely hard to predict. They are subject to small sample sizes including a full season of play, and nearly every goalie has their own unique development path.

Because of the difficulty in predicting goalies from such a young age it is oft-suggested to not use your draft picks on a goalie.  You can often select a cheap, average goalie from free agency, European leagues or the NCAA.  Because of the difficulty and the better options elsewhere I am oft in this camp.

The downside of not drafting a goaltender is that you are not likely to find an elite goaltender such as the Roberto Luongos, Carey Prices, or Henrik Lundqivst's of the world.  Should your team try and draft a goalie, despite the area being harder to predict, there are still some analytical rules you should follow.

Let's take a look at a few of 2015's most interesting goalie prospects after the jump.

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Nation Network Prospect Profiles: #10 Mikko Rantanen

Josh W
June 24 2015 02:33PM

As we head into our top-10 prospects in this profile series we are moving back to Finland to take a look at Mikko Rantanen – possibly the number 1 player to be drafted out of Europe this season.

It’s no surprise that Rantanen is very highly spoken of, it’s more a surprise that he’s only considered a top-10 pick. 

Continue past the jump for our player breakdown.

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Nation Network Prospect Profiles: #26 Joel Eriksson Ek

Josh W
June 19 2015 03:32PM

joelekeriksson

Photo Courtesy: @Sarah_Hobday

Back again on the other side of Atlantic, we are taking a look at the young centre Joel Eriksson Ek who has played a large amount of times in leagues senior to his age and has succeeded.  He appears he will likely be selected in the late first round, with potential to slip into the second but his talent level appears to suggest a top-6 centre.  For a later pick, Eriksson Ek is someone you should not pass on.

Continue past the jump for our qualitative and quantitative analysis.

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Nation Network Prospect Profiles: #31 Sebastian Aho

Josh W
June 17 2015 12:38PM

I wouldn't blame you if you went looking for Sebastian Aho highlights on Youtube and got really confused. The top result over there appears to show a short Swedish d-man, and, well, it's not a mistake. Sebastian Aho is a diminutive Swedish blueliner that's eligible for his second entry draft this season.

But there's another Sebastian Aho. This one is rated lower by NHL central scouting, but he's much younger with a much more impressive statistical resume to his credit. This Finnish Aho has been tearing up the Liiga's junior circuit for years before finally graduating to a full-time pro at an extremely young 17 years of age in 2015.

Join us after the jump for a look at one of Finland's most dynamic young scorers.

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Nation Network Prospect Profiles: #35 Jakob Forsbacka-Karlsson

Josh W
June 15 2015 05:30PM

Continuing with our Prospect Profiles, today we turn to number 35 on the list, the Swedish import into the USHL and currently scheduled to attend Boston College: Jakob Forsbacka-Karlsson (aka JFK).

This young centre has potential to become an impact player for your team if you’re willing to take the risk.  His path is unique having succeeded in the Swedish system at a young age, jumping to the USHL and now heading to the NCAA.

Continue past the jump for his breakdown.

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