October 19 2015 12:00PM
We here at Canucks Army (specifically myself and MoneyPuck) are organizing the first Vancouver Hockey Analytics Conference (VanHAC) along with two Simon Fraser University professors, Tim Schwartz and Oliver Schulte. There have been a number of hockey analytics conferences around North America over the last few years, including in Ottawa, Pittsburgh, Washington DC and Rochester. Other than a few small meetups in Calgary and Edmonton, this will be the first truly West Coast Hockey Analytics Conference!
This conference will be held on Saturday, April 9th, 2016 at the Harbour Centre, in downtown Vancouver. It is an all day event and includes a data scraping workshop. There will be smaller activities planned that weekend, which we will update you on as the information is solidified.
For now, watch the Conference Website and if you are interested, make sure to register, as spaces are limited!
What else can we tell you now?
July 24 2015 09:37AM
Nearly every hockey fan has the basic understanding that the NHL is the best hockey league in the world and that to become an regular player in the league you need to be the best of the best. Combining this with the piling of recent evidence suggesting that the peak age of players is around the mid-20s, it starts to become apparent that fans in every fan base tend to be over-confident in the success of their AHL (and other) prospects.
It is important when studying prospects, and when wanting to increase the general understanding of the league, to establish a baseline of success for those in development leagues.
Continue past the jump as we look into AHL success.
July 14 2015 02:02PM
Every year at the NHL Entry Draft a number of teams make really smart decisions on their picks (Islanders, Jets) while other teams seem to fall on their face (Bruins). At the end of the 210 picks, inevitably there are players every year who are not chosen despite showing potential to be better than average picks. This makes these players currently Unrestricted Free Agents and available to be signed to contracts by teams who feels they have potential.
Looking back at the 2014 NHL Entry Draft, MoneyPuck used PCS to look back at those players who had a high chance of success at the NHL level. (Un)surprisingly many were invited to teams camps and many went on to become important players on their teams, invited to World Juniors, and some were even signed to NHL teams.
With a current baseline of 8% of forwards and 5.6% of defencemen drafted move on to become NHL regulars, we can use PCS to look back at the 2015 draft and see players who should be invited to camps and are good bets to spend an ELC on.
June 26 2015 10:00AM
"Goalies are Voodoo."
This is a mantra repeated at one point or another by nearly anyone within the hockey analytics community. While a definite stretch of the truth, there’s some truth to it since goalies are extremely hard to predict. They are subject to small sample sizes including a full season of play, and nearly every goalie has their own unique development path.
Because of the difficulty in predicting goalies from such a young age it is oft-suggested to not use your draft picks on a goalie. You can often select a cheap, average goalie from free agency, European leagues or the NCAA. Because of the difficulty and the better options elsewhere I am oft in this camp.
The downside of not drafting a goaltender is that you are not likely to find an elite goaltender such as the Roberto Luongos, Carey Prices, or Henrik Lundqivst's of the world. Should your team try and draft a goalie, despite the area being harder to predict, there are still some analytical rules you should follow.
Let's take a look at a few of 2015's most interesting goalie prospects after the jump.
June 24 2015 02:33PM
As we head into our top-10 prospects in this profile series we are moving back to Finland to take a look at Mikko Rantanen – possibly the number 1 player to be drafted out of Europe this season.
It’s no surprise that Rantanen is very highly spoken of, it’s more a surprise that he’s only considered a top-10 pick.
Continue past the jump for our player breakdown.