Compliance Buyout Candidates: Eastern Conference

June 04 2013 12:27PM


Pic via Bridget Samuels

This summer, I think compliance buyouts will be more focused on guys who can't play anymore and guys who just suck. I believe we'll see the "skill" guys bought out next year, when a decision absolutely has to be made one way or another. Guys like Lecavalier, Richards and Bourque will likely be given this season to prove one way or another if they're worth their contracts. That's just the way I feel about it - if it were up to me, most of those type of contracts would've never been signed.

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Compliance Buyout Candidates: Western Conference

May 31 2013 02:48PM

Dany Heatley

Pic via Brett Stewart

This season's NHL lockout resulted in a few interesting wrinkles when it comes to cap compliance - one of those is the compliance buyout. Every team (except NYR and MTL, who have both used one buyout) has two compliance buyouts they can use during the buyout periods over the next two summers. This year, I've identified a few players in each conference who might be subject to such buyout parameters. These buyouts don't count against the salary cap, unlike regular buyouts. 

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The Friends with Numbers Podcast: Conference Finals Predictions

Dimitri Filipovic
May 31 2013 12:20PM


The Friends with Numbers are back, and there's lots to talk about. We recap the 2nd round of the NHL playoffs, before discussing the upcoming Conference Finals. Who do we have winning, and ultimately making it to the Stanley Cup Finals?

We would love to hear from you, the listener, for suggestions on future topics of discussion. Rather than us just being in our own little world, we'd like to make this as interactive a show as possible. Feel free to tweet at either Dimitri or Cam .

Click Past the Jump to Listen to the Podcast!

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Let's talk about shot blocking

Cam Charron
May 29 2013 03:38PM

It's not that blocked shots aren't important, it's that the team with the most blocked shots isn't necessarily the best team at shot blocking—the team with the most blocked shots is often the one trying to clear the puck out of its own end. Like in that PK above. It's an excellent shift from Tyler Carroll, but I'd bet that Guelph would rather not be down 3-on-5 in that situation.

So a new statistic has popped up: "Percentage of shots blocked" and it's a little dicey as well. Generally speaking, it's just not good to block a lot of shots or to be in situations where you have to block a lot of shots. "Percentage of shots blocked" has been kicking around but I've seen no evidence that it's a repeatable statistic that correlates with winning.

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Machine Learning and Hockey Predictions: Part II

Josh W
May 28 2013 12:57PM




Last time I tried to use Machine Learning to create a simple classifier that can predict which of two teams is more likely to win a hockey game.  Machine Learning is a class of artificial intelligence that can take a large amount of data, learn from it and then make future decisions.  A simple description of it is that the algorithms it uses (such as Neural Networks, Decision Trees, and Support Vector Machines) act like a black box, you feed it in data, it learns from it, and then it can make decisions on new and future data. 

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