Leafs shake up front office, hire stats Hound Dubas (seriously)

Cam Charron
July 22 2014 09:28AM

kyle dubas picture

I was wondering when the first NHL team would jump on Kyle Dubas, the young Ontario Hockey League general manager who has turned around the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds program since his arrival. The Greyhounds have redefined the way they look for talent through the draft and how they break down player performance.

I did not think it would ever be the Toronto Maple Leafs, but this is apparently that new world.

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The #LogOff Podcast - Our new idiot producer didn't think of a catchy title

Cam Charron
May 15 2014 04:05PM

On today's #LogOff Podcast, Dimitri and I were pleased to be joined by the pleasant Sean Gentille of TSN.com, and Robert A. P. of Jewels From The Crown. On the show, we buried the 2013-14 Pittsburgh Penguins, determined that Sidney Crosby is better than Jonathan Toews, and talked about whether Jonathan Quick is overrated or the 'most' overrated while also attempting to set up the Eastern Conference Finals series.

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Scoring chances - Buffalo @ Phoenix

Cam Charron
January 31 2014 02:50AM

For those of you unawares, Dimitri Filipovic and I have a running bet each week during the slate of Saturday games. The loser must watch a game of the winner's choosing... and record scoring chances. This week, I had the pleasure of watching the Phoenix Coyotes and the Buffalo Sabres. It was the teams' first meeting since #BUTTGOAL, but, alas, there was to be no legendary moment during the rematch. The only somewhat interesting sequence was when rookie referee Trevor Hanson got hit in the face with a puck after the ricochet off the crossbar from an Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot.

The Sabres won 3-2, but obviously didn't deserve the victory, being out-shot 40-28. ExtraSkater page for the game is here, and the scoring chances are below.

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Meanwhile, in Montreal...

Cam Charron
January 25 2014 06:28PM

The Montreal Canadiens have had an awful Fenwick Close % for the last while, and, well, it doesn't look like that's going to get any better against Washington. It takes a certain kind of awful to have as many shots as your adversary has goals midway through the second period, but, hey, at least it isn't Randypuck*.

* - Does "Randypuck" refer to Randy Carlyle or Randy Cunneyworth, these days?

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Score effects and you

Cam Charron
December 05 2013 02:48PM

TH2NSTATSGUY is stating, at first, something that is fact. Despite numbers guys' focus on shots, over the course of a game, the team that outshoots the opposition won't win every game. In fact, they should win less than half of the games.

If TH2NSTATSGUY were really interested in manipulating numbers to make his point, he'd have pointed out that between 2008 and 2012, so five complete, 82-game seasons, teams that out-shoot have combined for a 2982-2272-642 record, and teams that have been out-shot have combined for a 2914-2232-750 record.

Look at games in regulation, and that means teams that have been out-shot have won 2272 of games decided in regulation, and lost 2232. That's under 50%. Why, then, would we focus on shot statistics?

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