Playoff Predictions With A Basic Shot Attempts Model

Graphic Comments
April 16 2015 11:16AM

20150415-01

In the immortal words of Fox Mulder, "Nobody likes a math geek, Scully."

Especially when they predict that the St. Louis Blues will win the Cup this year. Ugh.

And yet, there we are. So how exactly did we get to this horrible, horrible outcome? Let's open up this particular X-File and find out...

Read Article | 1 Comments

Corsi Is Dead. Long Live Corsi.

Graphic Comments
January 29 2015 03:00PM

20150128-01

All eyes in the NHL this weekend were turned to Columbus, where you could see a once interesting and entertaining fixture in the hockey world now turned into a laughing stock, filled with professionals just going through the motions and putting on an embarrassing display.

No, I'm not talking about the All-Star Game, I'm talking about Ken Campbell and The Hockey News.

With news breaking that the NHL is about to revamp it's website to add new statistics, as well as trialing new technologies to automatically track even more on-ice parameters, Campbell penned an obituary to Corsi.

Read Article | 5 Comments

Vegas Maybe, VEGAS!!!

Graphic Comments
December 11 2014 10:30AM

20121210-01


I'm not sure if it's hallucinations due to heat stroke or just another dream of striking it rich on the Strip, but it looks like Gary Bettman and the NHL are seriously entertaining the idea of putting another team in the desert.

Whatever the case, I hope they wind up selling the arena rights to the Mirage Hotel & Casino, because boy is the thought of an NHL franchise thriving in Vegas ever an illusion.

Read Article | 13 Comments

Score-Adjusted PDO

Graphic Comments
October 24 2014 09:21AM

PDO histograms
Normal distributions of team PDO over nine seasons at each score situation

The idea that PDO converges to a value of 1.000 (or 100.0 or 1000 depending where you want your decimal point) over long periods of time is a useful one for hockey analysts. However, it can also provide an additional lens on performance over short periods of time. Knowing that the sum of shooting percentage and save percentage will eventually converge to 1 can indicate whether the short term results are indicative of what we can expect over larger samples.

You can call it a measure of luck or randomness or chance or bounces or whatever. The point is that they all even out eventually.

Or do they? 

Read Article | 2 Comments

Your Graphic Guide To 2014

Graphic Comments
December 03 2013 08:46AM

Give the gift of time!

It's like Christmas, your birthday and April Fool's Day all wrapped up in one!

This year, you can give the gift of time.

And I don't mean a lousy wristwatch. I mean, they can't even be bothered to put a full day on a watch. Twelve hours, sheesh.

No, instead of a measly twelve hours, you can give out twelve months! That's like giving someone 365 watches. How generous is that?!!

Read Article | 29 Comments