October 24 2014 09:21AM
Normal distributions of team PDO over nine seasons at each score situation
The idea that PDO converges to a value of 1.000 (or 100.0 or 1000 depending where you want your decimal point) over long periods of time is a useful one for hockey analysts. However, it can also provide an additional lens on performance over short periods of time. Knowing that the sum of shooting percentage and save percentage will eventually converge to 1 can indicate whether the short term results are indicative of what we can expect over larger samples.
You can call it a measure of luck or randomness or chance or bounces or whatever. The point is that they all even out eventually.
Or do they?
December 03 2013 08:46AM
It's like Christmas, your birthday and April Fool's Day all wrapped up in one!
This year, you can give the gift of time.
And I don't mean a lousy wristwatch. I mean, they can't even be bothered to put a full day on a watch. Twelve hours, sheesh.
No, instead of a measly twelve hours, you can give out twelve months! That's like giving someone 365 watches. How generous is that?!!
October 10 2013 01:20PM
If you're a regular reader here at Canucks Army, you are likely familiar with most of the new stats that we use to analyze players and games. Sure, everyone likes a good story, but good stories don't win you the Cup. Not cinderella stories, not chronicles of heroism, and certainly not a tale of destiny. Sigh.
No, what wins you the Cup is good old fashioned luck.
December 21 2012 10:10PM
The momentum is growing. Every day the calls to decertify or otherwise disband the NHLPA are growing. And I don't mean from NHL players.
No, hockey fans and media alike are now so fed up with what passes for collective bargaining in the NHL that they want to blow up the entire system. We're not talking just decertifying for the purposes of forcing the NHL to actually make a deal under threat of anti-trust lawsuits, i.e. what the NHL is alleging and what the NHLPA surely intends to do.
No, there are now calls to permanently abolish the NHLPA and in so doing completely free up all restrictions to player movement, including the NHL draft.
Personally, I'm not so sure this is a great idea...
December 13 2012 11:24PM
It took a long time, but it looks like we're now at the final table in this high stakes game of poker that is the NHL CBA negotations.
And yes, this this is and always has been a heads up game. Neither you, nor I, nor any of the
tens of thousands tens of hundreds tens out there that organized or took part in sit-ins, petitions or protests have a seat at this table, despite the fact that both sides are playing with our money.
Although, is this really any different that the real world? I mean, this pretty much describes our government institutions, and even more so the professional gamblers on the investment banking circuit that nearly blew up the house of cards that is our global financial system.
But I digress. Let's have a look at where we are heading into this final round...