Alexander Ovechkin, lies, damned lies, and statistics

Jonathan Willis
May 13 2012 12:04PM

Photo via Wikimedia Commons, GNU Free Documentation license

Photo via Wikimedia Commons, GNU Free Documentation license

There was a relationship that came up a few times during Washington’s post-season run, ended in (yet another) one-goal game last night against New York. When Alexander Ovechkin played more than 20:00 in a game, the Capitals were 1-and-5; when Ovechkin played less than 20:00 per game, the Capitals were 6-and-2.

Is that useful information?

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Nation Radio - May 12, 2012

NationRadio
May 13 2012 10:30AM

 

 

The hot topic this week was the launch of the Nation Network's newest project NHLNumbers blog. Derek Zona, Kent Wilson and others stopped by to talk about how the new site came to be as well as what readers can expect from it down the road. In addition, Ben Massey called in to talk the Oilers and Edmonton FC while Kent Simpson updates us on the Oil Kings playoff march.

This is Nation Radio.

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Better Know a Bias: Cognitive Dissonance

Danny Gray
May 12 2012 12:21PM



 

 (NHLNumbers will occassionally publish some of our author's archival material. This article was originally posted on August 8th, 2011)

Why do people get so angry about advanced statistics?

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The Myth of the Hot Goalie: Consistent Goaltenders vs. Inconsistent Goaltenders

Eric T.
May 11 2012 04:13PM

 

Consistent, or random?
Photo by Michael Miller via Wikimedia Commons, commons license

Stinks

 

Abstract

Some goaltenders are thought of as being particularly streaky or particularly consistent, but are those labels fair? In this article, we compare Marc-Andre Fleury, Ilya Bryzgalov, Henrik Lundqvist, Pekka Rinne, Jaroslav Halak, and Carey Price and find two things: they all exhibit about the same amount of variability as each other, and they all exhibit about the same amount of variability as would be expected from simple random chance.

Introduction

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The Theory and Nature of Current Advanced Hockey Analysis

Kent Wilson
May 11 2012 09:16AM

 

 

(NHLNumbers will occassionally publish some of our author's archival material. This article was originally posted on July 23rd, 2011)

Before we move forward, it makes sense to discuss and explicate the basis of the analyses we tend to engage in here. The theory, the application and the practicality of the stats we employ and the resultant interpretations. 

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