Asking the Right questions - Beware Small Samples

Kent Wilson
June 28 2012 04:52PM



(This is part one of a three part series that was originally published in April. With free agency season approaching, we figured it was worth a re-post here on NHLNumbers.)

It occured to me recently, after watching Brian Burke bloviate, Jay Feaster deflect and Steve Tambellini ramble during their respective year-end press conferences, that the true issue facing mediocre (or worse) teams is not whether an executive has all the answers - it's if he has the wherewithal to ask the right questions.

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On the scoring chance project, and why it must continue

Cam Charron
June 28 2012 02:29PM



Whatever tendency certain players might have for driving their team to get more scoring chances than a simple shot differential predicts is small and swamped by random noise. This suggests tracking scoring chances isn't adding much information to the readily available shot differential numbers.

That's from Eric on this very blog earlier this week. I'm willing to believe that, too. Over the course of the season, when I was tracking chances for Vancouver, I found that when the Canucks out-chanced a team, they were really not in a position to win the game all the time.

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Is Justin Schultz Worth the Hype?

Thomas Drance
June 28 2012 10:27AM


(This is a trunctated version of a longer Canucks Army post by Thomas Drance)

There are conflicting reports, but it appears as if Justin Schultz, with his representatives from Newport Sports in tow, will begins to hear pitches from individual teams hoping desperately to land the highly touted 21 year old defenseman on Thursday. That's per Bob Mckenzie:

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NHLnumbers Podcast Post-Draft Edition

Jared Lunsford
June 28 2012 08:07AM



Brent, Chase, Corey, Jared and Matt break down last-week's trades, discuss the oddities of this year's draft and predict where the big-name free agents are likely to land.

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Rick Nash Facts

Corey S.
June 27 2012 07:50AM


Photo taken from Wikimedia Commons

Aside from Zach Parise and maybe Ryan Suter, no player has been talked about more this off-season than Columbus Blue Jackets star winger Rick Nash. With the Blue Jackets running a sinking ship for almost a year now, it's been no secret that Nash has wanted out of Columbus and GM Scott Howson is looking to deal him. Howson reportedly tried to trade him at the deadline but couldn't get a deal done because none of the offers were up to his standard. 

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