Machine Learning & Pre-Game Text Reports to Forecast Success in Hockey

Josh W
February 08 2014 10:06AM

In the final part of my Machine Learning (ML) / Prediction series I’ve explored the ability to forecast games using Natural Language Processing (NL) and text, specifically the text from the pre-game reports on NHL.com. While this research is much more in depth on the ML/NLP side of things I’ve tried to minimize that and focus this post on the hockey #fancystats. If you are interested in learning more about the ML and NLP techniques send me a message and I can share that academic research.

To learn how I used text to predict games, click past the jump.

 

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The Log Off Podcast: "LOG OFF, GARTH!"

Dimitri Filipovic
February 07 2014 02:26PM

Topics covered on today's edition of the show:

  • The trade between the Islanders and Blackhawks. Why, Garth? You need to log off already. 
  • A look at the impending FA market, and how the league's parity could impact the deadline.
  • Most importantly, we made our picks for this weekend. Loser has to track Latvia/Switzerland.

Click past the jump to stream the podcast!

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Scoring Chances: Toronto @ Florida

Dimitri Filipovic
February 05 2014 12:06AM


The Wolverine was a beast in this one, but who in a Panthers uniform wasn't, really?

Cam beat me in our Weekly Picks Contest this past Saturday, meaning that I had to cover a game of his choosing from the following week. After some deliberation, he picked the Leafs/Panthers game on Tuesday night, presumably because he's a bitter individual that wants everyone to have to suffer through Leafs games with him. 

Except for the fact that this one wasn't actually all that bad. The Florida Panthers are a fun hockey club whose tires I've been pumping for weeks now, and they didn't let me down in this one. Pretty much from the opening puck-drop until the final whistle, they dominated their opponent, eventually breaking through against Jonathan Bernier en route to winning 4-1.

Read on past the jump for the scoring chance data, and some thoughts on the game itself.

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The Log Off Podcast: "you didn't finish me off until we got back to the hotel room"

Dimitri Filipovic
February 03 2014 03:28PM


Mikael Backlund's one-man show may've been enough for the Flames, but sadly, not for me..

Topics covered on today's edition of the show:

  • An in-depth character assassination of Dale Weise. 
  • Why are the Canadiens making such a misguided effort to bring bad hockey players in? 
  • Some advice on a goaltender to pick up in your fantasy league.
  • Potentially controversial feelings regarding Jack Edwards are revealed.
  • A recap of this past weekend's slate of games.
  • .. and along those lines, my punishment for losing is announced (check back on Wednesday)

Click past the jump to stream the podcast!

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The Log Off Podcast: "I'm afraid of anything involving Anders Lindback"

Dimitri Filipovic
January 31 2014 01:33PM


:(

Topics covered on today's edition of the show:

  • A riveting review of last night's Coyotes/Sabres game, which Cam had to sit through
  • Nathan MacKinnon's rookie season, and the Colorado Avalanche
  • Just how screwed are the Tampa Bay Lightning without Ben Bishop?
  •  And most importantly, our picks for this weekend's contest..

Click past the jump to stream the podcast!

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