July 03 2015 12:33PM
Throughout the course of the last year, the team at CanucksArmy and Jets Nation have been working on the development of a prospect evaluation tool called Prospect Cohort Success Percentage, or PCS for short. The basic premise is that by finding the closest comparables to a prospect in terms of age, size, league, and point production, we can gain insight into the prospect's likelihood of success at the NHL level.
At it's essence, the tool tries to mathematically answer the following questions:
- Who are a given players' closest pre-NHL comparables?
- What percentage of a players' closest comparables went on to become successful NHLers as defined by playing in excess of 200 NHL games (PCS%)?
- Of the comparables who went on to play in the NHL what was the average NHL point-per-game (PCS PPG) of these players?
There is a fair amount of advancements we're currently working on for PCS, including quality of teamates and era adjustments, but we thought it would be fun to see how teams did at the 2015 draft when using PCS as a benchmark.
Nation World HQ
July 03 2015 06:30AM
We've got you covered with the best articles from the CRAZIEST week in hockey's off-season, check it all out in this week's Roundup.
June 30 2015 01:00PM
It's an indication of the strength of this particular UFA crop that Justin Williams comes in number 1 on our list. That's not to take anything away from the 33 year old, who has been a high-end winger for years. But his age and the fact that he's only scored in the 40-point range the last two seasons goes to show there isn't a lot of franchise changing players available to sign this summer.
Despite those concerns, Williams remains a very useful player, in part because his value doesn't merely come from his offense. As one of the few wingers who has proven he can push possession over the years, Williams is a guy who can play up and down the line-up and provide quality minutes to whoever inks him.
June 29 2015 06:00AM
Photo Credit: Rick Osentoski/USA TODAY Sports
The free-agent pool for 2015 lacks a complete defenseman but does offer a substantial offensive player in Mike Green. The Washington Capitals blue liner has majestic career stats that tower over most of the free agents available and he is one of the 10 best offensive producers from the 2004 entry draft. He turns 30 in October, is close to 600 NHL games in his career, and posted 45 points in 2014-15 for the Caps. What is Mike Green's actual value, and how far is that number from what he'll get? The mind boggles.
June 26 2015 01:30PM
Ah, the NHL draft. A time of anxious anticipation.
But we've got you, er, covered.
To help you budding GMs out there, we at Canucks Army have prepared a handy list of do's and don'ts for a successful draft. Thanks to @joshweissbock and @MoneyPuck_ for help compiling these tips. Ah, who am I kidding. They came up with them, I just added the witty remarks.
But enough foreplay, let's get to the action.