The Roundup

Nation World HQ
January 23 2015 07:30AM

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The loser point, Leafs piling up losses, David Clarkson, Flames buying or selling, Jeff Petry, an Oilers cartoon, skill players fighting and more in this week's Roundup.

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The NHL Draft: Maybe Size Does Matter

money puck
January 22 2015 11:30AM

Based on his 6'3 frame and elite scoring rate, Dylan Strome is a virtual lock to be a future NHLer.

Frequent readers of CanucksArmy will know that one of the shared passions that authors on our site have is trying to find a way to improve the Canucks drafting, which has historically been abysmal

Much of the discussion from the fancy stats crowd when it comes to draft evaluation has centered around picking the player with higher point totals in junior, as we have found there to be a strong correlation between a prospect’s draft-year points-per-game, and NHL games player (pearson’s r =.41 indicating strong positive relationship), which tends to be a moderately better indicator of future NHL success than NHL's Central Scouting final rankings.

Other than the statistical argument, the holistic argument for this is compelling: in order for a prospect to succeed at the NHL level they should not just be good junior players, they should dominate at the junior level.

Critics of this school of thought have always had one major concern: scoring against kids in junior doesn't mean it will translate to scoring against men in the NHL. You need to be bigger, faster, and stronger to make it in the big league. This is why many, including scouts, tend to gravitate towards bigger players, whose stats may not sparkle as much as their smaller peers.

This sentiment has been scoffed at by the analytics types (myself included) who tend to rally around the prospects with the gaudy numbers, over the big “meat and potatoes” types. But is there something to this school of thought that bigger is better?

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A quick look at what effect the loser point has had on the NHL standings

Cam Lewis
January 21 2015 08:45AM

LANOPE

A win is a win and a loss is a loss. Why the NHL feels the need to reward teams with an extra point for losing a little bit later on in a game is completely beyond me. It made some sense back before the 2004-05 lockout put an end to tie games, but now, with every game resulting in a win, it’s unnecessary. Through the last five seasons, the loser point has had a relatively negligible effect on the standings, but the culture of rewarding teams with one point for losing a game after regulation waters down the incentive to win. 

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First Star, Worst Star: January 18, 2015

jeanshorts
January 18 2015 01:30PM

worst

We don't need a silly All-Star game to know who are the REAL stars of the hockey world. All we need is the power of prayer and First Star, Worst Star! 

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World Juniors: What Happened?

Josh W
January 17 2015 09:00AM

worldjunior

Courtesy: http://www.worldjunior2015.com/

One game elimination tournaments in hockey can produce some interesting results. We can estimate possession statistics in the round robin portion, to determine who are the better teams, but that matters little when a goalie posting a shutout can cause a top ranked team to be eliminated by the bottom ranked team.  

This scenario is not unheard of at the IIHF World Under-20 Championships (World Juniors) which has allowed Sean McIndoe, of Down Goes Brown, to compare this tournament to the NCAA Basketball March Madness.

So what happened? Let's take a look.

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