2013 NHL Draft Consensus - Seth Jones Rules, Valeri Nichushkin On The Rise

Derek Zona
April 13 2013 09:42AM

NHL Draft aerial shot
Photo by: Bri Weldon, via Wikipedia Commons

Barring a very late surprise run up these rankings, the players at the top of these rankings have broken up into a couple of very clear stratifications.  Seth Jones is a clear #1 at this point, with 6 of the 7 1st-place rankings among our sources.  Then the next two on the list - Halifax teammates Nathan MacKinnon and Jonathan Drouin are well ahead of the rest of the pack.  And mirroring that same gap, Aleksander Barkov and Valeri Nichushkin are now well clear at #4 and #5. 

Nichushkin, the big (6'4 198) Russian winger is the biggest mover in the top 18 this month, up two spots to #5.  He's had a marvelous KHL playoffs as his Traktor Chelyabinsk team has advanced to the Gagarin Cup Finals against Dynamo Moscow.  But Nichushkin will not see the end of the series - he's been at the centre of a national controversy, and will leave to play with the national team after game 4.

The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzie, Future Considerations, ISS, Ryan Kennedy, Craig Button, Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus, and The Scouting Report.  Their rankings are weight by their accuracy in ranking previous drafts: Bob McKenzie's rankings carry the most weight as he's the most accurate prognosticator in the group.

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Certain bad vs. uncertain good: the Steve Mason story

Jonathan Willis
April 08 2013 05:29PM

Photo: PicktownGolfer/Wikimedia

Steve Mason signed a $1.5 million contract with the Philadelphia Flyers for the 2013-14 season on Monday. It wasn’t a surprising development after the Flyers were willing to spend a draft pick acquiring him in trade, but it remains a poor decision for a hockey club with a long history of making poor decisions in net.

It’s bad enough that there’s a pretty good argument to be made that the Flyers would have been better off promoting a good goalie out of the AHL or the top European leagues instead of signing Mason.

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PDO numbers by NHL team - Apr 8

Cam Charron
April 08 2013 01:13PM

PDO doesn't stand for anything, but that doesn't mean we can't learn anything from adding up the overall shooting and save percentages for a team at even strength. A layman's explanation for 'PDO' and why we use it can be found here over at the Backhand Shelf. Basically, if a team is playing with a PDO number way higher than 1.000, they're producing above their expected output. If a team is playing with a PDO number below 1.000, they're producing below their expected output. Over the course of a long season, the number will generally correct itself.

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PDO numbers by NHL team - April 1

Cam Charron
April 01 2013 11:44AM

PDO doesn't stand for anything, but that doesn't mean we can't learn anything from adding up the overall shooting and save percentages for a team at even strength. A layman's explanation for 'PDO' and why we use it can be found here over at the Backhand Shelf. Basically, if a team is playing with a PDO number way higher than 1.000, they're producing above their expected output. If a team is playing with a PDO number below 1.000, they're producing below their expected output. Over the course of a long season, the number will generally correct itself.

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New Tool: Player Usage Charts

Robert Vollman
April 01 2013 08:39AM

 

 

There's a fantastic new interactive resource out there for hockey fans that lets you put together  customizable Player Usage Chart.  I'm pleased to have been invited to tell you where you can find it, what you can do with it, and even a little bit about where it came from.

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