Working backwards to figure out the Cup winner

Christiaan Conradie
August 08 2016 03:00PM

Arguably the most basic question in hockey analytics will probably always remain the same: can we use (a given stat) to predict how well (a team/player/lineup) will perform the future? As such, predicting the Stanley Cup champion is a yearly exercise many of us try to do, often testing out a number of hypotheses by mixing in different variables.

The purpose of this article is not so much to figure out which teams could have been expected to have done well, but which ones should not have.  As such, I calculated each teams' goal and shot differentials (the raw data can be found here). 

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Where does Sean Monahan go from here?

Ari Yanover
August 08 2016 12:00PM

When the Flames drafted Sean Monahan sixth overall in 2013, it signalled a new era in Calgary. Not only was it right at the start of the rebuild: it was the seemingly the first time in ages the Flames actually had someone who could actually be, at least one day, considered a first line centre.

Two years into his career, and that's where Monahan was playing. But while before, the team was devoid of centres - including having to ask wingers to play down the middle - today, it's the least worrying position.

The top three centres on the Flames are Monahan, Mikael Backlund, and Sam Bennett - with Bennett's potential still to be defined as he enters just his second season. With Monahan firmly cementing himself in the top two at the position - and with a new contract coming up, presumably at some point - let's talk about him.

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How is Milan Lucic likely to age over the next seven seasons?

Jonathan Willis
August 07 2016 04:52PM


Milan Lucic is an excellent NHL player in the here-and-now. I’d be very surprised if he isn’t a big help to the Edmonton Oilers next season, and given how he plays the game I’d be flat-out shocked if Oilers fans don’t embrace him.

I was curious though as to how players who scored the way he has the last three season have tended to age. Lucic’s new deal is seven years long, and it would be good to have an idea as to how that kind of commitment typically turns out.

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The Minnesota Wild need more from their defensive depth

Pat Keogh
August 07 2016 02:14PM

The Minnesota Wild had an uneven 2015-16 season. Starting things off by going 20-10-6 before New Year's Day, they eventually faltered and wound up firing their head coach Mike Yeo over Valentine’s Day weekend. They fared poorly from the new year on, putting up a dismal record of 3-12-4 until Yeo’s departure, but began to settle things down a bit under interim head coach John Torchetti, who saw the team go 15-11-1 during his time, although it is worth noting that the team lost its last five games right before the start of the playoffs.

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August 06 2016 12:11PM

platzer williams

For AHL forwards, rookie numbers at age 20 give us some idea about offensive ability—and how far their careers may go. Kyle Platzer didn't get a lot of playing time this season, but estimated time on ice gives us a chance to compare him against other 20-year olds on a more level playing field. Let's have a look.

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