2015 Stanley Cup playoffs: New York Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins - Round 1 Preview

Thomas Drance
April 13 2015 01:00PM

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Weighed down by a mess of injuries along their blue line, the Pittsburgh Penguins, who were eliminated by the New York Rangers a year ago, sagged down the stretch and are limping into the Stanley Cup playoffs in a wild card spot. The Rangers meanwhile won the Presidents' Trophy despite injuries to key contributors like Derek Stepan and Henrik Lundqvist, and have been as resilient and polished as anyone in the league all year. 

Who will win when they face-off this week in an all-Metropolitan division first-round Stanley Cup playoff series over the next two weeks?

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Lack of Power Play Opportunities played a big part in this season's low Art Ross race

Cam Lewis
April 13 2015 08:00AM

Jamie Benn finished the season on Saturday night with a four point effort to pull himself ahead of John Tavares and Sidney Crosby in the 2014-15 Art Ross Trophy race. Benn finished the year with 35 goals and 52 assists, good for 87 points. Obviously I don’t want to take anything away from Benn’s phenomenal season, but leading the league with 87 points seem pretty strange. In fact, it’s the lowest league leading total the NHL has seen in a season that wasn’t derailed by a lockout since Stan Mikita won the Art Ross with 40 goals and 47 assists in 1967-68. Benn’s strangely low scoring title marks a trend in the NHL that we haven’t seen since before the 2004-05 lockout. 

There’s tons of factors that could go into why this season saw a really low scoring title race, but it seems the major factor in decreased scoring throughout the league has been the result of fewer penalties being called year after year. We’re a far cry from Joe Thornton’s 2005-06 MVP and Art Ross campaign largely because we’ve seen the average power play opportunity figure nearly chopped in half over that time. 

Let’s take a look.

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Pittsburgh, Chicago, and Nashville have suffered from 'Rental Flops' this year

Cam Lewis
April 11 2015 03:04PM

It's always a gamble when you move future assets for rental players at the Trade Deadline. The hope is that the player you bring in for a few months can be the one to push your team over the top and either help you make the playoffs, or go all the way to the Stanley Cup. If that doesn't happen, you're stuck watching another team enjoy your prospects and draft picks as the player you rented looks for a big contract through free agency. This year, Chicago, Nashville, and Pittsburgh have seen some pretty disappointing results for players they paid high prices for. 

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The Draft Files: The Historical Cohort Based Approach Gets Its Sham On

money puck
April 11 2015 10:00AM

Later today, the Washington D.C. Hockey Analytics Conference will take place, as a handful of online analytics personalities will gather at Georgetown University to present a variety of studies and findings in the field of hockey analytics. Our own MoneyPuck will be in attendance to present the following study on simulating former entry drafts based on his height and scoring cohort success percentage model, so let's wish him the best of luck!

One of the passions that most of us at Canucks Army share is the desire to improve how teams draft players. This should come as no surprise, given that most of us are long suffering Canucks fans that have had to live with having one of the league's worst draft records

Much ink has been spilled in the analytics community on the importance of scoring at the junior level as an indicator of future success, with many analysts lamenting the perceived bias teams have in selecting size over skill. Josh Weissbock and myself addressed this in our work on predicting the future NHL success of both forwards and defensemen. We found small players had a lower likelihood of making it in the NHL than their taller peers who produced at the same rate offensively. Smaller players that did make it were generally prolific scorers at the junior level. Far from a validation of drafting size over skill, the implications of the study were rather intuitive and predictable: draft the higher scorer, and if scoring is equal, pick the bigger player. 

So given this information, can we out-draft an NHL team? Find out after the jump.

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The Roundup

Nation World HQ
April 10 2015 06:30AM

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Canucks, Jets and Flames all headed to the playoffs, Brendan Shanahan's tight ship, Kings miss, can the Oilers ever change, Keegan Lowe fights twice in NHL debut, breaking down trade deadline a month after the deals and more in this weeks Roundup brought to you by DraftKings.

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