Monte Carlo Method and Final Standing Predictions

Josh W
January 03 2014 10:39AM

Monte Carlo simulations are a really fun and interesting way to make predictions in just about anything, and this can be applied to many fields including hockey. Many different websites and experts use Monte Carlos to make predictions in hockey to determine final standings and points of teams. In this experiment, I create my own Monte Carlo to see if I can make similar prediction with reasonable outcomes. I then apply this method to the Vancouver Canucks and the Canadian teams in general.

To read learn more on my method, continue past the jump:

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Advanced Stats Crash Course: Possession (Part 1)

Kent Wilson
December 27 2013 11:31AM

 

 

Although "new stats" are still considered the useless obsession of a small collection of dilettantes in some quarters, they are nevertheless growing in prominence and use across the game. Possession stats like corsi are the basis of this upheaval and I still get a lot of questions and requests for clarification when it comes to these sorts of metrics.

Instead of answer them individually via email I decided to put together a crash course of the most important measures. In this series, I'll discuss what the measures are, what they mean, why they are useful and how they can easily referenced.

We'll start with corsi.

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Happy Holidays Nations

Kent Wilson
December 25 2013 08:06AM

 

 

About this time last year we at the Nations were trying to figure out a way to make the seemingly endless lock-out interesting (and to keep the lights on as our advertisers fled in terror).

Flash forward 12 months and we're bigger than ever after adding Brian Sutherby, Daily Faceoff and getting JetsNation on its feet (with the help of some great new contributors). We have some big plans for the future and will likely be adding even more content, gear, features, contests and fantasy type games very soon.

Of course, none of this is possible without all of our readers. So thank you for sticking with us through the dark times and continuting to make writing and reading here interesting, challenging, fun and rewarding.

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone.

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How Does Size Relate to Winning and Offense in the NHL?

Byron Bader
December 18 2013 12:56PM

Boston Bruins defenseman Zdeno Chara (33) and Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Martin St. Louis (26) during the third period of a NHL game in Boston on April 25th, 2013.  The Bruins beat the Lightning 2-0.(Photo: Brian Fluharty)

-piv via insidehockey

Since Brian Burke has taken over and emphasized a need to get bigger, the Flames fan base has mixed reviews on whether or not they are on board with this notion.  With this in mind and after a recent request from FN reader Matthew Kutarna, we're going to have a look at size as it relates to impact players.

Kent talked at great length about  the issue of "getting bigger" yesterday.  A sticking point of the article is that teams should not be getting bigger for the sake of getting bigger. Rather, teams should be  focused on getting skilled rather than bigger and not the other way around.  If the skill comes with size that's an obvious double threat that any fan would welcome with open arms.  

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Young Players and Corsi%

Travis Yost
December 16 2013 01:42PM

 

http://ww3.hdnux.com/photos/24/12/12/5284490/3/628x471.jpg

 

I've been thinking a fair bit about the structure of the National Hockey League and how regularly we sort of see young guys who probably aren't ready for the show being foisted into action. I think, a lot of the time, a coaching staff just wants to see how far along a young player is before shipping him out. In other instances, guys are kept around. Far too often, it's probably not in the best interest of the team, especially if they're trying to win hockey games.

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